Friday, June 21, 2013

WSOP 1500 Stud8 MTT

4500 starting stack with 75 button (no ante), 50 completion, and 50/100 limits
*Analysis - HHs were best recollection, but may be improved.

Table Reads:
1 Juan Carlos Mortensen
2 Hero
3 older guy w/ many card player/poker tatoos
reminded hero of "they don't know what you have" after seeing me check 5th/7th with 4 to royal flush
4 middle aged, friendly person, mistakened me for someone who was in the WSOP $1500 LO8 event/final table
5 older person, but Asian?
6 Tim Burt, a player who hero first met in NOLA in 2010. Mixed game player.
7 older player? larger? seemed tight?
8 person with LAPC XX (20th anniversary)
Roland Israelashvili per http://www.wsop.com/players/playerprofile.asp?playerID=3453

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Hero mistimed the commute to the Rio. Hero also didn't realize that pre-purchased seat would be put in play immediately.
Thus, hero only had 4250 instead of 4500 because of misplanning :(

536p - About halfway through the level (~2 rotations), hero had played 1-2 hands and won a small pot.
(1 spade dead)
Hero dealt: (Ts 7s) 5s

Hero eventually got flush on 6th street and scooped pot.
Hero's stack: 4600

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548p

Hero lost a couple bets as there was some aggression by vil6 (Tim) on 5th/6th street.
Hero: (Ax Ax) Qx Td 8x 9d
vil3: (Xx Xx) 5x 8x 9d 4d
vil6: (2c 3d) 3h Jc 3d 7s

vil6 showed trip 3s
vil3 eventually showed low

Hero's stack: 3825

Hero won another small pot before end of the level.

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Hero's stack at start of level 2: 3950 - 25 ante, 25 complete, 75/150 limits

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Twitter (623p):
Ugh surrounded by 2 maniacs. Almost got trapped for 5 bets on third :(
In this example, Hero called 1 bet, but folded to reraise (seat 3) and 3b (seat 1) to have to face 2 bets cold
In this particular spot, villain likely had (QQ)Q (rolled up queens).

Unfortunately, this happened about 2-3 more times in this level!

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Hero's chip count at first break (going into level 3):
3250 @ 25/25/100/200 (25 ante, 25 completion, 100/200 limits)

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Twitter (724p): Scooped three way pot on accidental reraise with ace door. 4800

Hero doesn't remember third villain in hand, but likely seats 4 or 5.

Dead cards: 8TJ
(Some other player is BI).
Vill: (Xx Xx) Ac 4x 7c Jx (Xx)
Hero: (5x 4x) Ax 6x 9x Ax (3d)
Vil4: (Xx Xx) Kx 5x 4x 8x (Xx)
(other players?)

3rd:
BrIn: (Xx Xx) Xx __Bring In__folds
Vill: (Xx Xx) Ac __Vil1 completes___Vil1 calls
Hero: (5x 4x) Ax __Hero *_reraises _Hero calls
Vil4: (Xx Xx) Kx __Vil4 reraises

* Dialogue:
First ace completes in front
Hero threw in too many chips (150 because previous limits were 75/150, not limits of 100/200) and was going to announce nothing, but it was misdone.
Floor was going to be called, but hero just said make it a reraise.
Hero throws 150 - announcing re-raise
K reraises to 300
Vil1: calls
Hero: calls

(Hero is fairly sure only 3 people were in pot, but not 100% sure.)
4th Street:
Vill: (Xx Xx) Ac 4x ____Vil1 calls
Hero: (5x 4x) Ax 6x __Hero bets
Vil4: (Xx Xx) Kx 5x __Vil4 calls

5th Street:
Vill: (Xx Xx) Ac 4x 7c ___Vil1 checks
Hero: (5x 4x) Ax 6x 9x __Hero checks
Vil4: (Xx Xx) Kx 5x 4x __Vil4 checks

6th Street:
Vill: (Xx Xx) Ac 4x 7c Jx ___Vil1 calls
Hero: (5x 4x) Ax 6x 9x Ax __Hero bets
Vil4: (Xx Xx) Kx 5x 4x 8x __Vil4 calls

7th Street:
Vill: (Xx Xx) Ac 4x 7c Jx (Xx) ___Vil1 calls
Hero: (5x 4x) Ax 6x 9x Ax (3d) __Hero bets
Vil4: (Xx Xx) Kx 5x 4x 8x (Xx) __Vil4 calls

Hero shows pair of aces + 6 low
Both villains muck.

Analysis:
3rd: The live misclick on 3rd works out! Normally, it's much better to call behind, but hero would find out pretty quickly if A had split aces by a 3rd street reraise.
4th: Hero's hand + board is actually decently connected. Seat 1 didn't bet offsuit 4, so hero decided to build the pot.
5th: Vil 1's board looks strong with 3 low cards. Hero bricked 5th and it checks through.
6th: Hero has a decently strong high board and could back into low/scooping scenario. Thus, hero decides to lead.
7th: Hero is very likely best in low direction with 6 low, and may be able to scoop.

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Twitter (743p): Mis played atqj all diamonds and probably lost at least bet on 6 or 7 when villain checks.

Dead Cards: Unknown
Bring In: Unknown
Vil8: (Xx Xx) 3c __Vil8 limps_____Vil8 calls
Vil1: (Xx Xx) Lx __Vil1 limps_____Vil1 calls
Hero: (Xx Xx) Ad __Hero completes

(3 players in pot, hero doesn't remember seat 1's hand, but guesses 2 wheel/low cards on 3rd/4th)
4th Street:
Vil8: (Xx Xx) 3c Js ___Vil8 checks
Vil1: (Xx Xx) Lx Lx ___Vil1 checks
Hero: (Xx Xx) Ad Qd __Hero checks
Hero: checks
Vil1: checks
Vil8: checks

5th Street:
Vil8: (Xx Xx) 3c Js 3d __Vil8 checks
Vil1: (Xx Xx) Lx Lx Bx __Vil1 checks
Hero: (Xx Xx) Ad Qd Jd __Hero checks
Vil8: checks
Vil1: checks
Hero: checks

6th Street:
Vil8: (Xx Xx) 3c Js 3d 5s __Vil8 checks__Vil8 calls
Vil1: (Xx Xx) Lx Lx Bx Bx __Vil1 checks
Hero: (Xx Xx) Ad Qd Jd Td __Hero tosses bet

7th Street:
Vil8: (Xx Xx) 3c Js 3d 5s (Xx) __Vil8 checks
Hero: (Xx Xx) Ad Qd Jd Td (Ah) __Hero checks

Seat 8 shows pair of 3s and hero wins pot.

Starting on 6th street, seat 8 had confused look on face for most of the hand.

Analysis:
Hero's board isn't really that strong on 5th. Seat 1 may have had 2 low cards on 4th, but bricked 5th/6th.
Hero could represent a 4 flush/3 low on 5th by betting....
6th: Hero is now trying to rep 4 flush on 6th. Seat 8 probably has pair of 3s + low draw.
7th: Hero could bet for thin value, but will villain call with any worse hands? Lows would call or possibly raise and hero would be possibly forced to fold the best hand.

Post-Mortem:
After the hand, seat 3 reminded me that people can only see your board, they can't see your hole cards.
This was very true. However, because this is stud hi/low, how really true is this? The board is definitely super strong in stud hi, but is it really as strong in stud/8?

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(read on villain)
Twitter (754p): One villain who likely raises high only hands had a65k two clubs on fifth with not lot of clubs dead and limped in early position.
(Xx Xx) Ac 6x 5c Kx

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Twitter (821p): AA Q A66 7 binked chop of huge pot had dead q jj and capping large number of streets. 8000 100 200
Dead Cards: QJJ
Hero doesn't remember exact boards.

Vil1: (Xx Xx) Xx Xx Xx Xx <--- 6th="" br="" folded="" street="">Hero: (Ax Ax) Qy Ax 6x 6x (7x)
Vil3: (Xx Xx) Kx Xx Xx Xx (Xx)? [maybe kings up?]
Vil4: (Xx Xx) Wx Wx Wx Wx (Xx)

Betting History:
Capped betting b/w Vil1 and Vil3 on 3rd/4th.
Hero was betting and jamming pot on 5th/6th street.

*Analysis:
Hero wishes he had a better memory of everyone's boards as this was a very clean concept of jamming pot when at least 1 player has locked up high and low.
In such a big pot, Seat 1 eventually folds after hero shows aggression on 6th street.
was hero "trapped" between seats 1 & 3, then started showing aggression on 6th?

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Twitter (825p) - Prior had 32 7 suited. Backed into low on 6 and binked 7 to scoop small pot.
Hero's likely board: (3s 2s) 7s Wx Bs Wx (Bs)
Hero doesn't remember villain's board.

Betting action:
Hero showed aggression on multiple streets, even with brick on 5th since there's huge chance to scoop.
Hero completed low on 6th street (freerolling).
Hero gets flush on 7th to scoop.

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Player in seat 3 quietly mentioned to me after 4 or 5 caps on 3rd (or later streets) that he was trying to bust by end of level 4.
He got all in a couple times even though he started fairly deep, but he actually met his goal and busted just before level 4. He seemed like a tough player, but one that was impatient and just wanted to build a stack or go home.

Hero also saw some of the "mainstream" poker personalities playing the game they like, stud/8.
Matt Savage
Norman Chad

Midway through level 4, hero figured out it was Juan Carlos Mortensen in seat 1.

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Hero's stack at 2nd break (going into level 5):
8250 @ 50/50/200/400. (50 ante, 50 completion, 200/400 limits).

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Twitter (1002p): Kudos to Tim. Low straight flush 7 high against aces full.

Player in seat 6 scooped a really huge pot against seat 7 with low straight flush (76543) versus boat of aces full!
There was capped betting action on possibly 5th and definitely on 6th (and maybe 7th. Hero doesn't quite remember if straight flush potential was already on board on 6th.

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Twitter (1039p): 7000 new table. Three identical doors has happened at least 7 times and first hand at new table.

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Table 2 Reads:
1 Tom Koral - he was playing Chinese Poker on his iPad all throughout the MTT.
2 hero
3 Filipino person
4 youngish guy from Venetian 600 PLO8
5 balding older man who seemed to think a bit between actions
6 Ali Eslami - http://pokerdb.thehendonmob.com/player.php?a=r&n=25316
7 older, smart thinking s/8 reg
8 middle aged African American who eventually got "tilted" and went along for ride

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Twitter (1105p): Almost made huge mistake. Bet two streets against possible freeroll with aces up. Then some ante stealing.

After just moving to this table a couple hands earlier, hero got involved in pot.

Dead Cards: Unknown
Bring In: Unknown
Vil1: (Xx Xx) 5d?
Hero: (Ax Ah) 8h 8c 9d Tc (5d)
Vil3: (Xx Xx) As Qx 4s 7s (3h?)
?Vi6: (Xx Xx) 7h?

4th Street:
Vil1: (Xx Xx) 5d Js? _____Vil1 folds
Hero: (Ax Ah) 8h 8c __Hero bets
Vil3: (Xx Xx) As Qx ____Vil3 calls
?Vi6: (Xx Xx) 7h Th? ___Vil6 folds

5th Street:
Hero: (Ax Ah) 8h 8c 9d __Hero bets
Vil3: (Xx Xx) As Qx 4s __Vil3 calls

6th Street:
Hero: (Ax Ah) 8h 8c 9d Tc __Hero bets
Vil3: (Xx Xx) As Qx 4s 7s __Vil3 calls

7th Street:
Hero: (Ax Ah) 8h 8c 9d Tc (5d) __Hero checks___Hero calls
Vil3: (Xx Xx) As Qx 4s 7s (3h?) __Vil3 bets

Analysis:
3rd/4th: Betting for value.
5th: It seems better to lead out and price out low draw then try to go for check raise. Villain had bricked on 4th.
6th: Hero should have slowed down and not bet 6th? Villain had 3 flush + 3 low on board, even though villain likely didn't have aces up. Hero could be getting freerolled easily unless there's small chance villain paired up.
Villain was glad hero kept betting in this spot. Looking back both then and now, villain is exactly right and hero was spewing on 6th.
7th: Hero check/called as villain has 3 low on board and may have a chance at scooping.

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Dead cards: Hero thinks it was 3 high cards, 1 low card
(folds to seat 7)
(many folds)
Vil7: (Xx Xx) 5c ____Vil7 completed
Vil8: folded (high brick)
Vil1: folded (high brick)
Hero: (7c 4s) 3h __Hero brings in___Hero called

4th Street:
Vil7: (Xx Xx) 5c 7h 3s __Vil7 checks___Vil7 calls
Hero: (7c 4s) 3h 6h 2h __Hero bet

5th Street:
Vil7: (Xx Xx) 5c 7h 3s __Vil7 checks___Vil7 folds
Hero: (7c 4s) 3h 6h 2h __Hero bet

Villain says "your board looks really scary" and folds.

Analysis:
3rd: Hero is calling late position possible steal with 3 low cards and possibly some scoop potential.
4th: Hero starts betting board strength.
5th: Same as 4th.

Villain is a smart villain by realizing RIO are huge (3-flush on board for high, probably better low draw).

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Hero's stack at break (going into level 7):
6900 at 100/100/400/800

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Twitter (1224a): Two bring in specials. Queens up on 5 and 7. 8100

Dead Cards: No dead diamonds, few low cards (based on hero's recollection)

Vil1: (Xx Xx) Xx
Hero: (Qd 5d) 4d __Hero brings in__Hero calls
Vil?: (Xx Xx) Xx
Vil?: (Xx Xx) Xx

(1 player completed and 4-5 way to 4th street; hand history assumes 5 players)

4th
Vil1: (Xx Xx)
Hero: (Qd 5d) 4d Qx
Vil?: (Xx Xx)
Vil?: (Xx Xx)
Vil?: (Xx Xx) Xx Xx Xx __Vil? folds

5th
Vil1: (Xx 5?) Xx Xx Xx ____Vil1 folds
Hero: (Qd 5d) 4d Qx 5x __Hero bets
Vil?: (Xx Xx) Xx Xx Xx __Vil? folds
Vil?: (Xx Xx) Xx Xx Xx __Vil? folds
Vil?: (Xx Xx) Xx Xx Xx __Vil? folds

hero acts first and bets
other players fold
seat 1 thinks for a while, then folds. Seat 1 (Tom) said "you've been patient and i'll let you have this one" and folds.
After the hand, he said he had a 5 in his hand which made it more suspicious.

Analysis:
4th street: Hero doesn't really know what to do
5th street: It's a small pot and hero has 2 pair (very disguised). Since hero's table image was pretty tight, it led to a lot of folds.

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Twitter (1236a): Chopping pots doesn't have to occur between a high and low hand in stud/8.
Two players had 88ak9 for a chop. Hero doesn't remember board run outs but it was a small pot. lol

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Twitter (100a): With low behind raised qq3 binked suited queen and you check raise on 4 and 3 streets of value.
Note: Hero doesn't remember exact villain board
villain had low door on 3rd/4th (not connected board)

3rd:
Hero: (Qc Qs) 3s__Hero brings in__Hero calls
folds to Vil5 with 3 left to act
Vil5: (Xx Xx) 5c__Vil5 completes

4th
Hero: (Qc Qs) 3s Qh __Hero checks___Hero raises
Vil5: (Xx Xx) 5c Th __Vil5 bets_____Vil5 calls

Analysis:
4th: Hero's board bricked on 4th. Even though villain got a somewhat connected low card, it's not really that connected and there's little chance of scooping.
Since hero flat calls turns hand face up, hero decides to get check raise in now.

Unfortunately, hero doesn't remember board run out, but hero scoops pot. Villain may have been chasing low or thought hero was just betting best high hand.

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Hero regrets not being able to remember action as this hand was 1-2 hands after the previous hand.

Twitter (101a): Made open ace trips and binked boat on river. Got check raise against trip queens.
Hero doesn't remember board run out, but got river check raise against villain.
Likely boards:
Hero: (Ax Xx) Ax Xx Ax Xx (7x)
Vil5: (Xx Qx) Qx Xx Qx Xx (Xx)

*Analysis: Hero wishes he remembered this HH (and betting action) too for analysis :(

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Hero's stack at end of level 7:
15200 @ 100/200/500/1000 (100 ante, 200 complete, 500/1000 limits)

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HH question/theory: Even though hero had (7c 5c) 3c, 3 dead flush cards might make it a fold.

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Twitter (122a): Sigh tt2 bring in with many low dead 6 completes. Hero folds to offsuit 65.

Dead: Many low cards
Vil6: (Xx Xx) 6x ____Vil6 completes
Hero: (Tx Tx) 2c __Hero brings in__Hero calls

4th Street:
Vil6: (Xx Xx) 6x 5x (not suited)
Hero: (Tx Tx) 2c Jd

Analysis:
3rd: This is an OK bring in defense as hero has some deception with buried overpair. If hero had a slightly higher door card (or sometimes in general), hero could reraise the completion.
4th: Hero would have continued on a non-brick (high card). Villain also got a strong card, although the villain had been very aggressive in past. A tighter villain with at 65o board is more dangerous b/c a 4 straight is more likely.
Unfortunately, hero has great reverse implied odds.

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Twitter (122a): Brick 23 6 7 three clubs on 4 multi.
Hero doesn't remember if got aggressive on 4th w/ just 3 flush & not really connected low cards, or was just check/call line until river on fold b/c other players are in pot.

Twitter (140a): Maybe bad fold multiway with short stack all in. K door 59 and hero had three flush 5j 3 and offsuit j.

Dead cards: none of note
Villain 7 is newer player as older, tighter stud8 player had busted.
Vil7: (Xx Xx) Kx 5x 9x
Vil?: (Xx Xx) 7d Lh?XX?
Hero: (5c Jc) 3c Jd

Hero called on 3rd, but Hero folded on 4th.

Analysis:
MW situation. Villain was short stacked, so is villain's range super wide here and just "playing K door" like stud hi, even though equity isn't great?
Hero had no read on villain per se.
3rd villain backed into low and chopped with king high.

If hero was HU:
Stud Hi/Lo Simulation ?
600,000 trials (Randomized) Hand Equity Scoops Wins Hi Ties Hi Wins Lo Ties Lo
3c jc 5c jd 40.11% 215,061 225,740 5 54,251 17
K $B Kh 5s 59.89% 333,772 374,255 5 17,752 17

Stud Hi/Lo Simulation ?
600,000 trials (Randomized) Hand Equity Scoops Wins Hi Ties Hi Wins Lo Ties Lo
3c jc 5c jd 52.20% 287,087 307,508 50 52,242 33
$B $B Kh 5s 47.80% 260,660 292,442 50 26,054 33

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A big multiway hand occurred towards the end of level 10.
MW situation

Note: Players 1 & 6 are likely very tough, aggressive limit players based on how they have played numerous pots.
Hero is fairly confident there were at least 4 people in the pot. There may have been 5 players (both 4 and 5 were in). Thus, Villain 4 or 5 may be interchanged as hero doesn't quite remember.

3rd:
Dead Cards: Unknown
Vil1: (Wx Ax) Wx // just pair of aces, likely low board (aces + 4 low)
Vil4: (Xx Xx) Xx // ?
Vil6: (Xx Xx) 5x // had betting lead on 5th-7th
Vil8: (Xx Xx) Bh // 3-flush, not lots of lows
// lots of bets, but not sure of bet sequence of if capped betting

4th:
Vil1: (Wx Ax) Wx Ax // just pair of aces, likely low board (aces + 4 low)
Vil4: (Xx Xx) Xx Xx // ?
Vil6: (Xx Xx) 5x 3x // had betting lead on 5th-7th
Vil8: (Xx Xx) Bh Wh // 3-flush, not lots of lows
// lots of bets, but not sure of bet sequence of if capped betting

5th:
Vil1: (Wx Ax) Wx Ax Wx // just pair of aces, likely low board (aces + 4 low)
Vil4: (Xx Xx) Xx Xx Xx // ?
Vil6: (Xx Xx) 5x 3x 5x // had betting lead on 5th-7th
Vil8: (Xx Xx) Bh Wh Bh // 3-flush, not lots of lows
// not sure if betting was capped on this street, but very likely

6th:
Vil1: (Wx Ax) Wx Ax Wx Wx // just pair of aces, likely low board (aces + 4 low)
Vil4: (Xx Xx) Xx Xx Xx Xx // ?
Vil6: (Xx Xx) 5x 3x 5x 3x // had betting lead on 5th-7th
Vil8: (Xx Xx) Bh Wh Bh Xx // 3-flush, not lots of lows
// betting was capped by seats 1 + 6

7th:
Vil1: (Wx Ax) Wx Ax Wx Wx (Bx)___________Vil1 calls____________Vil1 4-bets_____Vil1 calls // just pair of aces, likely low board (aces + 4 low)
Vil4: (Xx Xx) Xx Xx Xx Xx (Xx)___________Vil4 raises___________Vil4 folds // likely had better than 5s up (more likely - flush?)
Vil6: (Xx Xx) 5x 3x 5x 3x (Xx)__Vil6 bets___________Vil6 3-bets___________Vil6 caps // had betting lead on 5th-7th
Vil8: (Xx Xx) Bh Wh Bh Xx (Xx)__Vil8 calls__________Vil8 calls____________Vil8 calls // 3-flush, not lots of lows

Vil1 (Tom) Tom said he only had a pair of Aces, but still has decent stack.
Vil6 scoops a huge pot
Vil8 is almost out of tournament.

Tom was saying that seat 8 was likely tilted and the objective was to invoke gaspipe between him and seat 6 to get as many bets in the pot as possible. He suspects that seat 8 was chasing flush draw.

*Analysis: Hero was guaranteed outleveled by Seat 1's play on 7th. Hero wishes he remembered all the betting action exactly as it would have been great analysis :(

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Hero's stack at end of day 1:
9800 @ 100/200/600/1200 (100 ante, 200 completion, 600/1200 limits).

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