Sunday, June 30, 2013

Horseshoe Southern Indiana Stud Hi Cash Gaming

6-30-2013
30-60 Stud Hi Cash Gaming at Horseshoe Southern Indiana

Choices were 1-2 NLHE or 30-60 Stud Hi.
The table was 6 handed. Apparently, the game had run for 2.5 days straight and one person (seat 6) had been there since the start. He was dozing off periodically.

---------------
1 guy had open limped (2 from BI)
Dead Cards: No dead diamonds

(6 players)
3rd:
(folds to hero)
Hero: (7d 8d) Td__Hero completes
Vil5: (Xx Xx) 4h__Vil5 brings in__Vil5 folds
Vil8: (Xx Xx) 8h__Vil8 calls

(2 players)
4th:
Vil8: (Xx Xx) 8h 8s__Vil8 double bets
Hero: (7d 8d) Td Kh__Hero tanks/folds
villain bets double
hero folds

Analysis:
4th: This is a call/fold spot when villain bets double. Since hero bricked flush draw, this is an easy fold.
If hero didn't brick flush draw, it's closer to a call due to implied odds of hitting flush. Villain is also less likely to have a set since hero also holds an 8.

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Reads:
Seat 6: 1 villain seemed to completely play face up (said he was super tired) - kept betting repeatedly and/or check/calling and folding 7th if bricked draw

A somewhat dead flush. And maybe broadway gutter.

Dead Cards: (3 clubs dead, at most 1 door card is dead)
3rd:
Vil2: (Xx Xx) Xx__Vil2 calls
Vil3: (Xx Xx) Jc__Vil3 calls
Hero: (8x 8x) 3x__Hero brings in___Hero calls
Vil5: (Xx Xx) Xx__Vil5 limps_______Vil5 calls
Vil6: (Xx Xx) Xx__Vil6 completes

(5 players)
4th:
Vil 6 completed 3rd
Vil2: (Xx Xx) Kx Jx__Vil2 checks__vil2 calls
Vil3: (Xx Xx) Jc 7h__Vil3 checks__vil3 calls
Hero: (8x 8x) 3x 8x__hero checks__hero calls
Vil5: (Xx Xx) Xx Xx__Vil5 checks__vil5 calls
Vil6: (Xx Xx) Tx 6x__Vil6 bets
4th: Vil 6 bet
5th: Vil 6 bet

(5 players)
5th:
Vil2: (Xx Xx) Xx Xx Xx__Vil2 checks__vil2 calls___vil2 folds
Vil3: (Xx Xx) Jc 7h Ac__Vil3 checks__vil3 calls___vil3 calls
Hero: (8x 8x) 3x 8x Tx__hero checks__hero raises
Vil5: (Xx Xx) Qx 9x Js__Vil5 checks__vil5 folds
Vil6: (Xx Xx) Xx XX Xx__Vil6 bets____vil6 calls
Vil 6 called raise

(3 players)
6th:
Vil3: (Xx Xx) Jc 7h Ac Ts__vil3 checks__vil3 calls
Hero: (8x 8x) 3x 8x Tx Js__hero bets
Vil6: (Xx Xx) Xx Xx Xx Xx__vil6 folds

(2 players)
7th:
Vil3: (Xx Xx) Jc 7h Ac Ts (Xx)__vil3 checks__vil3 calls
Hero: (8x 8x) 3d 8h Tx Js (Ks)__hero bets

Analysis:
4th: Normally, it's best to get in as many bets as possible, even on smaller bet streets. But, since Seat 6 was so predictable, hero decides to slow play and grab bets later since the table wasn't jamming every pot.
5th: Hero decides to check/raise now. There's probably some merit for waiting for 6th street, but hero decides to go after bets now. Additionally, Seat 3's board is becoming a little more dangerous.
6th/7th: At ths point, villain's board is not scary enough to not bet when checked to.

Twitter: Binked set of 8 w 38t rainbow on 4th in 5 way pot. Check raised 5th aggressive straight forward player and kept 1 guy to end drawing to

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Hero books first ever live winning stud hi session (+5 big bets at 30/60)!
Player field seemed fairly straightforward.

Saturday, June 22, 2013

WSOP 1500 Stud8 MTT Day 2

4500 starting stack with 75 button (no ante), 50 completion, and 50/100 limits

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Day 2 Table Draws:
Brandon Shack-Harris CHICAGO, IL, US 16,000 Amazon / 413 / 1
"Hero" "Hero's City, State, US" 9,800 Amazon / 413 / 2
Harry Thomas Fort Lauderdale, FL, US 21,000 Amazon / 413 / 3
Lee Grove SUPERIOR, NE, US 12,900 Amazon / 413 / 4
Jeet Shetty PELHAM, NY, US 12,700 Amazon / 413 / 6
Matt Vengrin HENDERSON, NV, US 31,600 Amazon / 413 / 7
Scott Clements Mount Vernon, WA, US 9,000 Amazon / 413 / 8

Day 2 Table Reads:
[copy from handwritten sheets]
1 $1500 Stud/8 WSOP FT, met earlier in social game night
2 [empty to start]
3 (had Cincinnati Reds cap)
old guy, stud hi player
may overvalue high only hands
talked about music related things
4 no stud background
5
6 1 NLHE ME cash
About 8 hands in, realized he shows aggression/overplays any A door
aggro fish - contains with OESD
7 PLO8 background/mixed 8 game cash
8 PLO background (live)

---------------
Hero's stack upon restart at level 9:
9800 @ 100/200/600/1200. (100 ante, 200 completion, 600/1200 limits).

Day 2 table draws were posted by the time hero woke up. Hero researched all the players at the table.

Research Algorithm:
1. Hero looked at each player's Hendon Mob (and other live MTT database records) to assess their previous cashes.
A. Do they have any stud/8 cashes?
B. Do they have any mixed game cashes?
C. Do they have any WSOP cashes?
D. How much MTT winnings do they have?
[If they have no mixed game cashes, they could be overly aggressive. If they have no WSOP cashes, they might be trying to squeak into the money and be nitty at the bubble.]
2. Do they have a twitter account?
3. Do they have any online screennames to gather info about their style of play or online MTT/cash game records?

---------------
Tweets:
222p Restart. Same three of a kind door in first 8 hands and hero had 3 bring in already :(

---------------
Dead Cards: Don't remember (likely neutral - 2 high and 2 low)
Hero completed with 6
Vil6: (Xx Xx) 3c __BI
[3 players fold]
Hero: (Xx Xx) 6x __Completes
Vil3: (Xx Xx) Kh __Vil3 Folds
Vil4: (Xx Xx) Jc __Vil4 Folds
Vil5: (Xx Xx) Qd __Vil5 Folds

Analysis:
3rd: With 3 high cards between hero and bring in, this is a mandatory steal with anything resembling a hand (even possibly 2 bricks in the hole). If there was a lowish card between hero and bring in and it becomes more marginal.

---------------
Hero and Scott Clements were heads up in a pot (hero was not bring in, but in late position and seat 8 was likely on a steal with a high door card (which is most likely a split pair).
Villain was first to act with high cards and bet 4th/5th.
Hero called 4th, then raised 5th since board was somewhat connected and flushing.
Scott Clements bet into hero's 3 low board (hero had some chance of scooping as board was connected), hero raised and started betting when checked to.

Dead Cards: Unknown
Vil8: [high hand]
Hero: [low hand freeroll on 5th]

Analysis:
4th: Hero has a chance to scoop and should continue to call.
5th: stud/8 101: Seat 8 was betting his high hand and hoping hero paired. While an aggressive strategy, villain could be wasting a bet depending on other player's board (up cards).
If board has little chance of scoop, then it's ok. But if board is connected somewhat (like 4c 6h 7s), then it's actually a really bad spot to be betting.

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Dead Cards: 665
Vil8: (Xx Xx) 4x __Vil7 brings in
Vil1: (Xx Xx) Jd
Hero: (Kx 8x) Kx
Vil3: (Xx Xx) 6x
Vil4: (Xx Xx) 6x
(no seat 5)
Vil6: (Xx Xx) Ax
Vil7: (Xx Xx) 5h

Analysis:
3rd: Hero made correct fold with an ace door behind with split kings. It could also be a limp/fold to reraise.
If there was no Ace behind, hero should consider limping/calling 3rd street if not in steal position (hand is face up and hero is in EP and OOP the rest of the hand).
Hero should donk bet when villains brick (high cards or sometimes offsuit unconnected low 4th street cards).
It was likely leak with best hand and may have gotten extra chips for hero.

---------------
Hero's stack at level 10:
4700 @ 200/200/800/1600 (200 ante, 200 completion, 800/1600 limits).

---------------
Tweet:
307p Sigh. Buddy to right was rolled up 999 then had to play huge pot. 4700 200 800 1600
This referred to seat 1

---------------
Shortly after start of new level.
Note: Hero doesn't remember all up cards

7 handed
3rd street:
Vil1: (Xx Xx) Xx _______________Vil1 Reraises AI (1.75 bets)
Hero: (Ac 7c) 5d __Brings In____Hero calls_______Hero calls
Vil3: (Xx Xx) Xx __Vil3 Raises__Vil3 reraises
(2 folds)
?Vi6: (Xx Xx) Xx __Vil6 Calls___Vil6 calls 2 bets

4th street:
Vil1: (Xx Xx) 7h 4d _____All In____
Hero: (Ac 7c) 5d Ts __Hero check___Hero folds
Vil3: (Xx Xx) 4h 6h __Vil3 bets
(2 folds)
?Vi6: (Xx Xx) Xx Xx __Vil6 calls

Vil1 chops to stay in MTT while Vil3 wins a big pot with Vil6 staying in through 6th street before folding.

(Ac 7c) 5d Ts - hero folds
hero gets high offsuit brick on 4th and is forced to fold

Analysis:
3rd: Ugh, not a great spot with a hand that could be way behind. Immediate odds to call, but definitely unhappy about it.
4th: Even though there's a huge pot on 4th, hero has very few chips left (2-3 big bets) and can't just waste more chips to try to catch running cards in a multiway pot. If it was HU, it could be a different story.

Hero's stack: about 3300

---------------
(320p, but tweet was delayed):
Hero has 3000 chips at 800/1600 limits (level 10).
Action:

Vil1: (5d 8x) 7d Jd Qh Kh 6d
Hero: (Ac 6c) 6h Qs Ad 5h 7s

Dealer actually forgot to burn a card before dealing 5th street, so I was supposed to have a Q (and seat 1 had a high brick). The floor had to be called over (b/c hero was already all in), and they said redeal the card.
Seat 1 said hero should get Qs anyway, but hero noted it actually helped hero's hand.
At least hero was redrawing live on 7th street.

Vil1: (5d 8x) 7d Jd Qh Kh 6d
Hero: (Ac 6c) 6h Qs Ad 5h 7s

Tweets:
354p (delayed) Bust around 120 56 pay 3000 800 1600. Friend in 1 had 587 two flush in diamonds. Jd Qh 7d Kh 6d.
356p I had Ac 6c 6h no dead clubs. Qs Ad 5h 7s.

---------------
Busto around 120 (56 pay)

---------------
Summary:
1. Hero's first time bagging chips and getting to day 2! Sure, it would have been nice to cash, but at least that hurdle's been passed.
2. Three people with identical door cards happened way too often. Not like 1x or 2x, but double digit times over 10 levels! (9-12 times on day 1, 3 times on day 2.)
3. Hero ran very well through most of the MTT. There were some mistakes towards the end of day 1, but hero's play was actually really good throughout the tournament.
4. The table draws were tough. My redraw table at end of day 1 had all strong players (sans 1 player who tilted, but seemed competent up until that point). People were raising with middle low cards (4-6) on steals and pots were contested mainly by middle low cards. There weren't any whales by any stretch, but there were definitely a couple players who didn't really understand stud8 and were playing it like stud hi (overplaying hi hands).
5. Hero also needs to think about ranges a little more in stud8. Hero may have been getting a little bit anxious and not always thinking about ranges on later hands towards the end of day 1. It also may have been a lack of mental endurance.

Friday, June 21, 2013

WSOP 1500 Stud8 MTT

4500 starting stack with 75 button (no ante), 50 completion, and 50/100 limits
*Analysis - HHs were best recollection, but may be improved.

Table Reads:
1 Juan Carlos Mortensen
2 Hero
3 older guy w/ many card player/poker tatoos
reminded hero of "they don't know what you have" after seeing me check 5th/7th with 4 to royal flush
4 middle aged, friendly person, mistakened me for someone who was in the WSOP $1500 LO8 event/final table
5 older person, but Asian?
6 Tim Burt, a player who hero first met in NOLA in 2010. Mixed game player.
7 older player? larger? seemed tight?
8 person with LAPC XX (20th anniversary)
Roland Israelashvili per http://www.wsop.com/players/playerprofile.asp?playerID=3453

---------------
Hero mistimed the commute to the Rio. Hero also didn't realize that pre-purchased seat would be put in play immediately.
Thus, hero only had 4250 instead of 4500 because of misplanning :(

536p - About halfway through the level (~2 rotations), hero had played 1-2 hands and won a small pot.
(1 spade dead)
Hero dealt: (Ts 7s) 5s

Hero eventually got flush on 6th street and scooped pot.
Hero's stack: 4600

---------------
548p

Hero lost a couple bets as there was some aggression by vil6 (Tim) on 5th/6th street.
Hero: (Ax Ax) Qx Td 8x 9d
vil3: (Xx Xx) 5x 8x 9d 4d
vil6: (2c 3d) 3h Jc 3d 7s

vil6 showed trip 3s
vil3 eventually showed low

Hero's stack: 3825

Hero won another small pot before end of the level.

---------------
Hero's stack at start of level 2: 3950 - 25 ante, 25 complete, 75/150 limits

---------------
Twitter (623p):
Ugh surrounded by 2 maniacs. Almost got trapped for 5 bets on third :(
In this example, Hero called 1 bet, but folded to reraise (seat 3) and 3b (seat 1) to have to face 2 bets cold
In this particular spot, villain likely had (QQ)Q (rolled up queens).

Unfortunately, this happened about 2-3 more times in this level!

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Hero's chip count at first break (going into level 3):
3250 @ 25/25/100/200 (25 ante, 25 completion, 100/200 limits)

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Twitter (724p): Scooped three way pot on accidental reraise with ace door. 4800

Hero doesn't remember third villain in hand, but likely seats 4 or 5.

Dead cards: 8TJ
(Some other player is BI).
Vill: (Xx Xx) Ac 4x 7c Jx (Xx)
Hero: (5x 4x) Ax 6x 9x Ax (3d)
Vil4: (Xx Xx) Kx 5x 4x 8x (Xx)
(other players?)

3rd:
BrIn: (Xx Xx) Xx __Bring In__folds
Vill: (Xx Xx) Ac __Vil1 completes___Vil1 calls
Hero: (5x 4x) Ax __Hero *_reraises _Hero calls
Vil4: (Xx Xx) Kx __Vil4 reraises

* Dialogue:
First ace completes in front
Hero threw in too many chips (150 because previous limits were 75/150, not limits of 100/200) and was going to announce nothing, but it was misdone.
Floor was going to be called, but hero just said make it a reraise.
Hero throws 150 - announcing re-raise
K reraises to 300
Vil1: calls
Hero: calls

(Hero is fairly sure only 3 people were in pot, but not 100% sure.)
4th Street:
Vill: (Xx Xx) Ac 4x ____Vil1 calls
Hero: (5x 4x) Ax 6x __Hero bets
Vil4: (Xx Xx) Kx 5x __Vil4 calls

5th Street:
Vill: (Xx Xx) Ac 4x 7c ___Vil1 checks
Hero: (5x 4x) Ax 6x 9x __Hero checks
Vil4: (Xx Xx) Kx 5x 4x __Vil4 checks

6th Street:
Vill: (Xx Xx) Ac 4x 7c Jx ___Vil1 calls
Hero: (5x 4x) Ax 6x 9x Ax __Hero bets
Vil4: (Xx Xx) Kx 5x 4x 8x __Vil4 calls

7th Street:
Vill: (Xx Xx) Ac 4x 7c Jx (Xx) ___Vil1 calls
Hero: (5x 4x) Ax 6x 9x Ax (3d) __Hero bets
Vil4: (Xx Xx) Kx 5x 4x 8x (Xx) __Vil4 calls

Hero shows pair of aces + 6 low
Both villains muck.

Analysis:
3rd: The live misclick on 3rd works out! Normally, it's much better to call behind, but hero would find out pretty quickly if A had split aces by a 3rd street reraise.
4th: Hero's hand + board is actually decently connected. Seat 1 didn't bet offsuit 4, so hero decided to build the pot.
5th: Vil 1's board looks strong with 3 low cards. Hero bricked 5th and it checks through.
6th: Hero has a decently strong high board and could back into low/scooping scenario. Thus, hero decides to lead.
7th: Hero is very likely best in low direction with 6 low, and may be able to scoop.

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Twitter (743p): Mis played atqj all diamonds and probably lost at least bet on 6 or 7 when villain checks.

Dead Cards: Unknown
Bring In: Unknown
Vil8: (Xx Xx) 3c __Vil8 limps_____Vil8 calls
Vil1: (Xx Xx) Lx __Vil1 limps_____Vil1 calls
Hero: (Xx Xx) Ad __Hero completes

(3 players in pot, hero doesn't remember seat 1's hand, but guesses 2 wheel/low cards on 3rd/4th)
4th Street:
Vil8: (Xx Xx) 3c Js ___Vil8 checks
Vil1: (Xx Xx) Lx Lx ___Vil1 checks
Hero: (Xx Xx) Ad Qd __Hero checks
Hero: checks
Vil1: checks
Vil8: checks

5th Street:
Vil8: (Xx Xx) 3c Js 3d __Vil8 checks
Vil1: (Xx Xx) Lx Lx Bx __Vil1 checks
Hero: (Xx Xx) Ad Qd Jd __Hero checks
Vil8: checks
Vil1: checks
Hero: checks

6th Street:
Vil8: (Xx Xx) 3c Js 3d 5s __Vil8 checks__Vil8 calls
Vil1: (Xx Xx) Lx Lx Bx Bx __Vil1 checks
Hero: (Xx Xx) Ad Qd Jd Td __Hero tosses bet

7th Street:
Vil8: (Xx Xx) 3c Js 3d 5s (Xx) __Vil8 checks
Hero: (Xx Xx) Ad Qd Jd Td (Ah) __Hero checks

Seat 8 shows pair of 3s and hero wins pot.

Starting on 6th street, seat 8 had confused look on face for most of the hand.

Analysis:
Hero's board isn't really that strong on 5th. Seat 1 may have had 2 low cards on 4th, but bricked 5th/6th.
Hero could represent a 4 flush/3 low on 5th by betting....
6th: Hero is now trying to rep 4 flush on 6th. Seat 8 probably has pair of 3s + low draw.
7th: Hero could bet for thin value, but will villain call with any worse hands? Lows would call or possibly raise and hero would be possibly forced to fold the best hand.

Post-Mortem:
After the hand, seat 3 reminded me that people can only see your board, they can't see your hole cards.
This was very true. However, because this is stud hi/low, how really true is this? The board is definitely super strong in stud hi, but is it really as strong in stud/8?

---------------
(read on villain)
Twitter (754p): One villain who likely raises high only hands had a65k two clubs on fifth with not lot of clubs dead and limped in early position.
(Xx Xx) Ac 6x 5c Kx

---------------
Twitter (821p): AA Q A66 7 binked chop of huge pot had dead q jj and capping large number of streets. 8000 100 200
Dead Cards: QJJ
Hero doesn't remember exact boards.

Vil1: (Xx Xx) Xx Xx Xx Xx <--- 6th="" br="" folded="" street="">Hero: (Ax Ax) Qy Ax 6x 6x (7x)
Vil3: (Xx Xx) Kx Xx Xx Xx (Xx)? [maybe kings up?]
Vil4: (Xx Xx) Wx Wx Wx Wx (Xx)

Betting History:
Capped betting b/w Vil1 and Vil3 on 3rd/4th.
Hero was betting and jamming pot on 5th/6th street.

*Analysis:
Hero wishes he had a better memory of everyone's boards as this was a very clean concept of jamming pot when at least 1 player has locked up high and low.
In such a big pot, Seat 1 eventually folds after hero shows aggression on 6th street.
was hero "trapped" between seats 1 & 3, then started showing aggression on 6th?

---------------
Twitter (825p) - Prior had 32 7 suited. Backed into low on 6 and binked 7 to scoop small pot.
Hero's likely board: (3s 2s) 7s Wx Bs Wx (Bs)
Hero doesn't remember villain's board.

Betting action:
Hero showed aggression on multiple streets, even with brick on 5th since there's huge chance to scoop.
Hero completed low on 6th street (freerolling).
Hero gets flush on 7th to scoop.

---------------
Player in seat 3 quietly mentioned to me after 4 or 5 caps on 3rd (or later streets) that he was trying to bust by end of level 4.
He got all in a couple times even though he started fairly deep, but he actually met his goal and busted just before level 4. He seemed like a tough player, but one that was impatient and just wanted to build a stack or go home.

Hero also saw some of the "mainstream" poker personalities playing the game they like, stud/8.
Matt Savage
Norman Chad

Midway through level 4, hero figured out it was Juan Carlos Mortensen in seat 1.

---------------
Hero's stack at 2nd break (going into level 5):
8250 @ 50/50/200/400. (50 ante, 50 completion, 200/400 limits).

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Twitter (1002p): Kudos to Tim. Low straight flush 7 high against aces full.

Player in seat 6 scooped a really huge pot against seat 7 with low straight flush (76543) versus boat of aces full!
There was capped betting action on possibly 5th and definitely on 6th (and maybe 7th. Hero doesn't quite remember if straight flush potential was already on board on 6th.

---------------
Twitter (1039p): 7000 new table. Three identical doors has happened at least 7 times and first hand at new table.

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Table 2 Reads:
1 Tom Koral - he was playing Chinese Poker on his iPad all throughout the MTT.
2 hero
3 Filipino person
4 youngish guy from Venetian 600 PLO8
5 balding older man who seemed to think a bit between actions
6 Ali Eslami - http://pokerdb.thehendonmob.com/player.php?a=r&n=25316
7 older, smart thinking s/8 reg
8 middle aged African American who eventually got "tilted" and went along for ride

---------------
Twitter (1105p): Almost made huge mistake. Bet two streets against possible freeroll with aces up. Then some ante stealing.

After just moving to this table a couple hands earlier, hero got involved in pot.

Dead Cards: Unknown
Bring In: Unknown
Vil1: (Xx Xx) 5d?
Hero: (Ax Ah) 8h 8c 9d Tc (5d)
Vil3: (Xx Xx) As Qx 4s 7s (3h?)
?Vi6: (Xx Xx) 7h?

4th Street:
Vil1: (Xx Xx) 5d Js? _____Vil1 folds
Hero: (Ax Ah) 8h 8c __Hero bets
Vil3: (Xx Xx) As Qx ____Vil3 calls
?Vi6: (Xx Xx) 7h Th? ___Vil6 folds

5th Street:
Hero: (Ax Ah) 8h 8c 9d __Hero bets
Vil3: (Xx Xx) As Qx 4s __Vil3 calls

6th Street:
Hero: (Ax Ah) 8h 8c 9d Tc __Hero bets
Vil3: (Xx Xx) As Qx 4s 7s __Vil3 calls

7th Street:
Hero: (Ax Ah) 8h 8c 9d Tc (5d) __Hero checks___Hero calls
Vil3: (Xx Xx) As Qx 4s 7s (3h?) __Vil3 bets

Analysis:
3rd/4th: Betting for value.
5th: It seems better to lead out and price out low draw then try to go for check raise. Villain had bricked on 4th.
6th: Hero should have slowed down and not bet 6th? Villain had 3 flush + 3 low on board, even though villain likely didn't have aces up. Hero could be getting freerolled easily unless there's small chance villain paired up.
Villain was glad hero kept betting in this spot. Looking back both then and now, villain is exactly right and hero was spewing on 6th.
7th: Hero check/called as villain has 3 low on board and may have a chance at scooping.

---------------
Dead cards: Hero thinks it was 3 high cards, 1 low card
(folds to seat 7)
(many folds)
Vil7: (Xx Xx) 5c ____Vil7 completed
Vil8: folded (high brick)
Vil1: folded (high brick)
Hero: (7c 4s) 3h __Hero brings in___Hero called

4th Street:
Vil7: (Xx Xx) 5c 7h 3s __Vil7 checks___Vil7 calls
Hero: (7c 4s) 3h 6h 2h __Hero bet

5th Street:
Vil7: (Xx Xx) 5c 7h 3s __Vil7 checks___Vil7 folds
Hero: (7c 4s) 3h 6h 2h __Hero bet

Villain says "your board looks really scary" and folds.

Analysis:
3rd: Hero is calling late position possible steal with 3 low cards and possibly some scoop potential.
4th: Hero starts betting board strength.
5th: Same as 4th.

Villain is a smart villain by realizing RIO are huge (3-flush on board for high, probably better low draw).

---------------
Hero's stack at break (going into level 7):
6900 at 100/100/400/800

---------------
Twitter (1224a): Two bring in specials. Queens up on 5 and 7. 8100

Dead Cards: No dead diamonds, few low cards (based on hero's recollection)

Vil1: (Xx Xx) Xx
Hero: (Qd 5d) 4d __Hero brings in__Hero calls
Vil?: (Xx Xx) Xx
Vil?: (Xx Xx) Xx

(1 player completed and 4-5 way to 4th street; hand history assumes 5 players)

4th
Vil1: (Xx Xx)
Hero: (Qd 5d) 4d Qx
Vil?: (Xx Xx)
Vil?: (Xx Xx)
Vil?: (Xx Xx) Xx Xx Xx __Vil? folds

5th
Vil1: (Xx 5?) Xx Xx Xx ____Vil1 folds
Hero: (Qd 5d) 4d Qx 5x __Hero bets
Vil?: (Xx Xx) Xx Xx Xx __Vil? folds
Vil?: (Xx Xx) Xx Xx Xx __Vil? folds
Vil?: (Xx Xx) Xx Xx Xx __Vil? folds

hero acts first and bets
other players fold
seat 1 thinks for a while, then folds. Seat 1 (Tom) said "you've been patient and i'll let you have this one" and folds.
After the hand, he said he had a 5 in his hand which made it more suspicious.

Analysis:
4th street: Hero doesn't really know what to do
5th street: It's a small pot and hero has 2 pair (very disguised). Since hero's table image was pretty tight, it led to a lot of folds.

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Twitter (1236a): Chopping pots doesn't have to occur between a high and low hand in stud/8.
Two players had 88ak9 for a chop. Hero doesn't remember board run outs but it was a small pot. lol

---------------
Twitter (100a): With low behind raised qq3 binked suited queen and you check raise on 4 and 3 streets of value.
Note: Hero doesn't remember exact villain board
villain had low door on 3rd/4th (not connected board)

3rd:
Hero: (Qc Qs) 3s__Hero brings in__Hero calls
folds to Vil5 with 3 left to act
Vil5: (Xx Xx) 5c__Vil5 completes

4th
Hero: (Qc Qs) 3s Qh __Hero checks___Hero raises
Vil5: (Xx Xx) 5c Th __Vil5 bets_____Vil5 calls

Analysis:
4th: Hero's board bricked on 4th. Even though villain got a somewhat connected low card, it's not really that connected and there's little chance of scooping.
Since hero flat calls turns hand face up, hero decides to get check raise in now.

Unfortunately, hero doesn't remember board run out, but hero scoops pot. Villain may have been chasing low or thought hero was just betting best high hand.

---------------
Hero regrets not being able to remember action as this hand was 1-2 hands after the previous hand.

Twitter (101a): Made open ace trips and binked boat on river. Got check raise against trip queens.
Hero doesn't remember board run out, but got river check raise against villain.
Likely boards:
Hero: (Ax Xx) Ax Xx Ax Xx (7x)
Vil5: (Xx Qx) Qx Xx Qx Xx (Xx)

*Analysis: Hero wishes he remembered this HH (and betting action) too for analysis :(

---------------
Hero's stack at end of level 7:
15200 @ 100/200/500/1000 (100 ante, 200 complete, 500/1000 limits)

---------------
HH question/theory: Even though hero had (7c 5c) 3c, 3 dead flush cards might make it a fold.

---------------
Twitter (122a): Sigh tt2 bring in with many low dead 6 completes. Hero folds to offsuit 65.

Dead: Many low cards
Vil6: (Xx Xx) 6x ____Vil6 completes
Hero: (Tx Tx) 2c __Hero brings in__Hero calls

4th Street:
Vil6: (Xx Xx) 6x 5x (not suited)
Hero: (Tx Tx) 2c Jd

Analysis:
3rd: This is an OK bring in defense as hero has some deception with buried overpair. If hero had a slightly higher door card (or sometimes in general), hero could reraise the completion.
4th: Hero would have continued on a non-brick (high card). Villain also got a strong card, although the villain had been very aggressive in past. A tighter villain with at 65o board is more dangerous b/c a 4 straight is more likely.
Unfortunately, hero has great reverse implied odds.

---------------
Twitter (122a): Brick 23 6 7 three clubs on 4 multi.
Hero doesn't remember if got aggressive on 4th w/ just 3 flush & not really connected low cards, or was just check/call line until river on fold b/c other players are in pot.

Twitter (140a): Maybe bad fold multiway with short stack all in. K door 59 and hero had three flush 5j 3 and offsuit j.

Dead cards: none of note
Villain 7 is newer player as older, tighter stud8 player had busted.
Vil7: (Xx Xx) Kx 5x 9x
Vil?: (Xx Xx) 7d Lh?XX?
Hero: (5c Jc) 3c Jd

Hero called on 3rd, but Hero folded on 4th.

Analysis:
MW situation. Villain was short stacked, so is villain's range super wide here and just "playing K door" like stud hi, even though equity isn't great?
Hero had no read on villain per se.
3rd villain backed into low and chopped with king high.

If hero was HU:
Stud Hi/Lo Simulation ?
600,000 trials (Randomized) Hand Equity Scoops Wins Hi Ties Hi Wins Lo Ties Lo
3c jc 5c jd 40.11% 215,061 225,740 5 54,251 17
K $B Kh 5s 59.89% 333,772 374,255 5 17,752 17

Stud Hi/Lo Simulation ?
600,000 trials (Randomized) Hand Equity Scoops Wins Hi Ties Hi Wins Lo Ties Lo
3c jc 5c jd 52.20% 287,087 307,508 50 52,242 33
$B $B Kh 5s 47.80% 260,660 292,442 50 26,054 33

---------------
A big multiway hand occurred towards the end of level 10.
MW situation

Note: Players 1 & 6 are likely very tough, aggressive limit players based on how they have played numerous pots.
Hero is fairly confident there were at least 4 people in the pot. There may have been 5 players (both 4 and 5 were in). Thus, Villain 4 or 5 may be interchanged as hero doesn't quite remember.

3rd:
Dead Cards: Unknown
Vil1: (Wx Ax) Wx // just pair of aces, likely low board (aces + 4 low)
Vil4: (Xx Xx) Xx // ?
Vil6: (Xx Xx) 5x // had betting lead on 5th-7th
Vil8: (Xx Xx) Bh // 3-flush, not lots of lows
// lots of bets, but not sure of bet sequence of if capped betting

4th:
Vil1: (Wx Ax) Wx Ax // just pair of aces, likely low board (aces + 4 low)
Vil4: (Xx Xx) Xx Xx // ?
Vil6: (Xx Xx) 5x 3x // had betting lead on 5th-7th
Vil8: (Xx Xx) Bh Wh // 3-flush, not lots of lows
// lots of bets, but not sure of bet sequence of if capped betting

5th:
Vil1: (Wx Ax) Wx Ax Wx // just pair of aces, likely low board (aces + 4 low)
Vil4: (Xx Xx) Xx Xx Xx // ?
Vil6: (Xx Xx) 5x 3x 5x // had betting lead on 5th-7th
Vil8: (Xx Xx) Bh Wh Bh // 3-flush, not lots of lows
// not sure if betting was capped on this street, but very likely

6th:
Vil1: (Wx Ax) Wx Ax Wx Wx // just pair of aces, likely low board (aces + 4 low)
Vil4: (Xx Xx) Xx Xx Xx Xx // ?
Vil6: (Xx Xx) 5x 3x 5x 3x // had betting lead on 5th-7th
Vil8: (Xx Xx) Bh Wh Bh Xx // 3-flush, not lots of lows
// betting was capped by seats 1 + 6

7th:
Vil1: (Wx Ax) Wx Ax Wx Wx (Bx)___________Vil1 calls____________Vil1 4-bets_____Vil1 calls // just pair of aces, likely low board (aces + 4 low)
Vil4: (Xx Xx) Xx Xx Xx Xx (Xx)___________Vil4 raises___________Vil4 folds // likely had better than 5s up (more likely - flush?)
Vil6: (Xx Xx) 5x 3x 5x 3x (Xx)__Vil6 bets___________Vil6 3-bets___________Vil6 caps // had betting lead on 5th-7th
Vil8: (Xx Xx) Bh Wh Bh Xx (Xx)__Vil8 calls__________Vil8 calls____________Vil8 calls // 3-flush, not lots of lows

Vil1 (Tom) Tom said he only had a pair of Aces, but still has decent stack.
Vil6 scoops a huge pot
Vil8 is almost out of tournament.

Tom was saying that seat 8 was likely tilted and the objective was to invoke gaspipe between him and seat 6 to get as many bets in the pot as possible. He suspects that seat 8 was chasing flush draw.

*Analysis: Hero was guaranteed outleveled by Seat 1's play on 7th. Hero wishes he remembered all the betting action exactly as it would have been great analysis :(

---------------
Hero's stack at end of day 1:
9800 @ 100/200/600/1200 (100 ante, 200 completion, 600/1200 limits).

Thursday, June 20, 2013

Rio Stud8 Cash Gaming

stud/8
Hero suggested that limits go from 20/40 -> 25/50 to stop people from having to get $4 antes + 4-8 red chips for their bets.
A bunch of people thought it was a great idea and we changed it to higher limit with fewer chips...

Outside of 1 blind steal (which hero won), hero only played 1 other hand in 1 hour of time.

Hero doesn't remember exact up cards, but is trying to give context.
Hero was bring in w/ 4 door card.
1 raise in middle position (Xx Xx) 6x.
1 called complete (Xx Xx) 7x.
Hero called completion.

Vill1: (Xx Xx) 6x Qs
Vill2: (Xx Xx) 7x Td
Hero: (2x 4c) 4h 4d

Hero donks
Vill1 & Vill 2 fold

Analysis:
3rd: This may be somewhat questionable b/c hero's up card and kicker aren't bigger than either door cards (small pair/small kickers can be troublesome hands), but hero can call with discounted price in bring.
4th: Easy bet for value against Hero binked trips in MW pot (24)44, but other 2 villains in hand bricked their 4th street boards

Binions 300 PLO 6-max MTT

20000 chips with 25/50 blinds and 40 min. levels

---------------
Initial Table Draw:
4 hero
6 player with WSOP-C ring (from Golden Nugget MTT)

Overall, hero had been showing some aggression and making bluffs w/o showdown.

Hero's stack was down to 16100
Blinds: 150/300

Hero dealt: T865 (T6 suited)

HJ (vil1): raises to 900
but (vil2): calls 900
SB (hero): calls in SB
BB: folds

(3 players - 3000 in pot)
Flop: 962 two flush (hero has T high flush draw)
Hero: checks
vil1: bets 2500
Hero: raises to 10000
vil1: calls

(2 players - 23000 in pot)
Turn: 962 6 two flush
Hero: bets 5000 (AI)
Villain: calls

Villain: shows 9876

River: 96269

Hero busts and reenters for first time in live career.

Analysis:
Preflop: This is a standard flat call, although hero could have been nitty and folded due to top/middle gaps in rundown.
Flop: The check/raise three handed may have been somewhat loose. Although PFR could be cbetting often and wide, hero may also be crushed by chunks of villain's range (NFD+overpair/pair for example).
Turn: The rest of the stack goes in on a great turn card except for small part of villain's range (which villain had).

---------------
After reentry, hero was placed at "new late registration table". Hero also got a second receipt and second food comp!

Table 2 (Re-entry table)
Started 4 handed
2 Ryan (Binion's floor) to start
4 older Canadian person
5 hero
6 quickly moved to balance tables - Canadian in electric motor scooter

---------------
Blinds: 150/300

Reads: seat 4 seemed to limp/fold often when hero had raised (this happened 3 times)

Hero dealt: AAK4 (A4 suited)

(2 folds)
4: limps
CO (hero): raises to 900
But/SB/BB: fold
4: calls

(2 players - 2250 in pot)
Flop: AKJ two tone (hero does not have flush draw)
4: checks
Hero: bets 1800
4: calls

(2 players - 5850 in pot)
Turn: AKJ8
4: checks
Hero: bets 4000
4: calls

(2 players - 13850 in pot)
River: AKJ82 flush draw misses
4: checks
Hero: bets 7500
4: calls

Hero shows AAK4
Villain had jjxx

Analysis:
Preflop: Isolating limper seems like best play.
Flop/Turn/River: Hero bets for max value and maybe should have bet more than 4000 on turn...
Most live villains would have thought about raising with the nuts. Since villain never raised and hero had no reason to believe seat 4 was a strong player taking a pot control line with the nuts, hero can value bet relentlessly. Hero is check calling any raises and folds to any aggression on flushing cards.

Hero's stack: 37k

---------------
Twitter (520p): Sigh no action on kj4 two tone with hero aq t6 ds.
Hero got into a MW pot, but no one called flop bet.

---------------
Twitter (553p)
blinds: 400/800
No reads on either villain.
Hero is shortest stack at 30k
v1: ~40k?
v2: ~40-45k

Hero dealt: KK85 rainbow
v1 (UTG+1): raises to 2800
v2 (CO): calls
hero (SB): calls

(3 players - 9200 in pot)
Flop: A63 rainbow
hero: checks
v1: checks
v2: checks

(3 players - 9200 in pot)
Turn: A63K backdoor flush draw
hero: bets 6000
v1: flats
v2: raises to 21000
hero: reraises all in
v1: folds
v2: calls
v2 shows QJT4 no flush draw

River: A63K6

Hero doubles up to 62400.

Analysis:
Preflop: Flop: Standard check with underpair/no redraw.
Turn: It seems very unlikely that villain is slowplaying top set, but it's definitely possible on such a dry board (few wraps except for wheel wraps). Villain jamming with wrap with only 1 card to comes is pretty bad.

---------------
Hero eventually gets moved to another table.

---------------
3rd Table Reads (stayed until 2 tables remaining)
1 young (20-30ish) male, seemed competent type person, no reads
2 unknown older player to start, eventually Ryan (Binion's floor)
3 older, very loose player
4 hero? (maybe in seat 4 instead?)
5 bryce
6 older guy with glasses; likely canadian and "knew about Xuan Liu" possibly

---------------
Hero's stack: 37400 @ 500/1000

Hero seemed to be showing a lot of aggression, but picking bad spots to bluff.

There were many hands against a maniac "live" PLO player (seat 4) as hero had position against this player. Villain had shown some bluffs in spots, but seemed to show down value hands in spots as well.

one spot, hero called when

Note: Hero's rememberance of this hand is vague.
blinds: 300/600
Hero dealt: AJ74 (A4 suited)

(folds to sb, seat 3).
sb: limped
hero: raised to 1800
sb: calls

(2 players - 3600 in pot)
Flop: QJ4 rainbow (hero has no flush draw)
vil4: checks
hero: bets 2100
vil4: calls

(2 players - 7800 in pot)
Turn: QJ48 (two tone)
vil4: checks
hero: checks

(2 players - 7800 in pot)
River: QJ486 (flush draw misses)
vil4: bets 4200
hero tanks and calls

vil4: shows Q66x with flush draw
hero: mucks

Analysis:
Preflop: This is ok hand to open
Flop: This cbet was ok given bottom 2 pair. Hero doesn't really want a call though.
Turn: Hero has some merit to betting the turn to charge draws and get some thin value against a wide villain flop calling range. But, there's a problem if the pot gets so large and hero is forced to call a big river bet for ~40% of stack for a huge portion of hero's stack.
River: There's definitely merit to calling villain's donk bet given flush draws missed and hero has a bluff catcher. Villain had top of range though...

---------------
Additional read:
Seat 3 showed down quads 2x with 33xx.

II. blinds 500/1000 (15 players left)
Note: Hero doesn't remember exact hand, but remembers it did not connect with board.

Hero dealt: T985 (T8 suited in hearts)

hero raises to 2500
BB (3): calls

(2 players - 5500 in pot)
Flop: 3c 6d Js (hero does not have BDFD)
vil3: checks
hero: bets 3500
vil3: calls

(2 players - 12500 in pot)
Turn: 3c 6d Js Ad
vil3: checks
hero: bets 8500
vil3: calls

(2 players - 29500 in pot)
River: 3c 6d Js Ad Qc
villain: checks quickly
hero: checks

villain called with A9xx (no redraws) (Hero doesn't know villain's other side cards)
hero: mucks

Analysis:
Preflop: A reasonably connected hand and ok to open UTG.
Flop: There's some merit to actually checking this flop back against a looser player who probably isn't folding to a lot of flop bets. Hero decided to barrel given a possibly bad assumption that villain realizes it was an early position raise.
Turn: This seems like a good bet to represent top 2+ (or top/3rd pair) that's continuing aggression. It is a dry board though and villain doesn't seem to be type that slowplays per se.
River: Hero believes villain's range is strong here and does not fire third shell.

---------------
III. blinds: 600/1200
(not sure of blind amount (maybe twitter/HH), but )
hero 20k behind

At this juncture, hero has tightish image as only played ~10-12 hands a huge number of hands in 5-6 rotations.

Hero dealt: Q553 rainbow
SB (3): calls
BB (Hero): checks

(2 players - 2400 in pot)
Flop: Qd Kh Jd
SB: checks
hero: checks

(2 players - 2400 in pot)
Turn: Qd Kh Jd 8c
SB: checks
hero: checks

(2 players - 2400 in pot)
River: Qd Kh Jd 8c 3s
SB: bets 2400
hero: calls

Villain say she has air
Hero shows set of 3s and wins the pot.

Analysis:
Preflop/Flop/Turn: Normal given hero's horrible hand + lack of raise = not really hitting strong broadway board texture.
River: Villain and hero had some history to make the river call worthwhile. Even if hero did not hit set of 3s on river, this could actually be a call as villain seemed to be aggro, not a passive player who might slowplay hands.
Additionally, a raise by hero would probably not be called by any worse hands.

---------------
---------------
Twitter (616p)
Note: Another hand against a different player. Apologies to skipping around time wise, but it seemed best to keep the hand histories against the same villain consecutive.
Tweet:
Hero was pfr and cbet. Raised on flop. Check check turn. Check villain bets 10000
I think it was good to call in small blind big blind battle. But got top of range against villain oop. Kq q9 ss. Q9379 rainbow

blinds: 400/800
hero's stack: ~60k
villain's stack: 35k
No reads on villain (BB).

Hero dealt: AA95 (A5 suited)

(folds to hero)
SB (hero): raises to 2000
BB: calls

(2 players - 4000 in pot)
Flop: Q93 rainbow
hero: bets 2500
vill: raises 8000
hero: calls

(2 players - 20000 in pot)
Turn: Q937 rainbow
hero: checks
vill: checks

(2 players - 20000 in pot)
River: Q9379 rainbow
hero: checks
vill: bets 10000
hero: calls

villain shows; KQQ9 (KQ suited)
hero: mucks

Hero's stack: around 37k

Analysis:
Preflop: Normal.
Flop: TBH, looking back at the analysis, this is most likely a bet/fold on the flop. Villain could be raising some wraps, but in any event, hero's usually crushed by villain's range.
Turn: Hero is hoping to get to showdown cheaply.
River: As played, this could be a check/fold. Villain showed aggression on flop and could be trying to bluff the river with missed wrap that villain decided to check on turn to try to catch. But, it seems more like a nutted hand when board pairs on the river...

---------------
Twitter (802p)

blinds: 500/1000
Hero: dealt Ah Kh Ts 2d

2 (Ryan): limped
CO (hero): raised to 4500
Button: folds
SB: folds
BB: folds
2: (Ryan) calls

(2 players - 9500 in pot)
Jh 6h 4c
vil2: checks
hero: checks

(2 players - 9500 in pot)
Jh 6h 4c 6d
vil2: checks
hero: checks

(2 players - 9500 in pot)
Jh 6h 4c 6d As
vil2: bets 3000
hero: thinks for a long time and calls.

villain shows AJ6x (A6 suited) for boat.
Hero mucks.

Analysis:
Preflop: This is ok.
Flop/Turn: Hero decided to give up on the pot...
River: Hero spewed and this should be super easy fold.
Villain talked a lot and seemed at least somewhat above "level 0 thinker", so the small bet smells super strong (likely nut boat).
What hands can villain bet that hero would call? Actually, nothing. Could villain have turned a hand into bluff? Possibly, but it seemed unlikely given the really small bet size.

---------------
Hero's stack: ~12000
blinds: 800/1600

Hero had been tight for 2-3 rotations and had to fold to 3b.
Hero dealt: Kd Jd 8c 3s

(folds to hero on button)
Button (Hero): raised to 4000
2: raises to 15000
Hero: folds

Analysis:
Preflop: In honesty, was hero's image so tight that hero could steal here? It seems doubtful. It's a top 75% hand!

---------------
Blinds: 800/1600
Bet called at 54 double suited on j87. Could not run out q988.

Hero dealt: AT54 (AT) (54) double suited

folds to hero in CO
(Hero): raised to 4000
Button: folds
SB: folds
BB: calls

(2 players - 8800 in pot)
Flop: J87 two tone (hero has nut flush draw)
vill: checks
Hero: bets 5500
vill: raises AI (~20k)
Hero: calls

Villain: shows Q988 (no suit)

Hero bricks (doesn't remember board run out).

Analysis:
Preflop: Suited Ace seems like OK open, although hot/cold equity is not great (ATxx).
Flop: Hero's best option is to bet/call as hero has nut flush equity.

---------------
Hero out: 10/28 (5 pay)
The field seemed a bit looser and more aggressive than a full ring MTT, which is normal, but some players may have over-compensated.

Wednesday, June 19, 2013

Rio Big O Cash Gaming

5/5 Big O
effective stacks: 1000

6 handed. This occurred 2-3 hands after sitting down.

Hero dealt: Aj532 rainbow
mississippi straddle on the button to 10.
hero completes in SB
CO: raises to 50
hero calls

(110 in pot - 2 players)
Flop: 554 two tone (hero does not have flush draw)
hero: checks
villain: checks

(110 in pot - 2 players)
Turn: 554k completing flush draw
hero: checks
villain: bets pot (110)
hero: calls

(330 in pot - 2 players)
River: 554k8 4 flush on board
hero: checks
villain: bets pot (330)
hero: tanks, then folds

Analysis:
Preflop: This seemed ok, even though hero does not have suit.
Flop: Hero was attempting to c/r here with gutshot nut low wrap + uncounterfeitable low. Although hero would be in bad shape against A2 with flush draw, hero has a huge amount of equity.
Turn: Hero is now lost. Should hero just call down multiple bets? RIO are kind of bad and it's either call turn/river or fold turn.
River: Based on turn action (check/call), Hero should never fold the river as hero may be getting 3/4 sometimes on a bluff. More likely, villain is chopping with hero.

In summary, hero made mistake by check/calling turn, but then folding river.

Golden Nugget PLO MTT

12000 starting chips at 25/50 (PLO) with 40 min. levels.

---------------
Late Registration Table Reads:
1 Passively polayed j75t with overpair + fd
Limped bad aass
capable of bet/folding pairing river (villain bet small into pot)
Tougher player to my right (seat 1)
4 Barrleled 3 streets even on bdfd completing on river

At a different table, hero saw an older lady with LIPS cap (likely table which opened before hero arrived).

---------------
Reads:
SB: Loose/aggressive/bad player(had just doubled after hitting gutter on turn)

Blinds: 50/100

Hero dealt: AKQJ (AK QJ double suited)

Hero (UTG, ~11.8k): raises to 300
SB (~25k): calls
BB (~15k?): calls

(3 players - 900 in pot)
Flop: JT8 two tone (hero has bdfd)
SB: bets 700
BB folds
Hero calls

(2 players - 2300 in pot)
Turn: JT8 Qd (hero has nfd)
SB: checks
Hero bets 2k (pot)
SB: calls

(2 players - 6300 in pot)
River: JT8 Qd 2x (both flush draws miss)
SB: checks
Hero value bets 4500
SB: folds

Analysis:
Preflop: Raise for value
Flop: Flatting seems best. There's a large number of good cards which can make nuttish hand (broadway) or add backdoor equity.
Villain's range seems like Q9xx, 97xx, and sets (mainly Q9/97, IMO).
Turn: A really good card and bet for value with nuts. Villain slows down, so more likely sets.
River: Should hero bet smaller? Should hero bet larger?
Villain may be stubborn and call with a bad straight in this spot...

---------------
Read: PFR has often min-raised to open a pot
Hero dealt: KKT5 (KT and K5 double suited)

(3 folds)
PFR (MP): min-raises to 300
Hero (CO): calls
SB: calls
BB: folds

(3 players - 1050 in pot)
Flop: K86 two tone (hero does not have flush draw)
SB: checks
MP: checks
Hero: bets 750
SB: folds
PFR: calls

(2 players - 2550 in pot)
Turn: K86 J (offsuit, two tone flop)
PFR: checks
Hero: bets 2000
PFR: folds

Analysis:
Preflop: A flat call or a squeeze can work.
Flat call is usually best to get more players in pot for set mining.
Hero can muck the hand facing a 4 bet squeeze as its equity against AAxx is not super great.
Flop: Bet/call for value. PFR doesn't have a strong range to check/call. Also, assuming a normal live villain who doesn't check raise often, this seems rather weak. A c/r by the SB likely indicates a big draw. Hero could flat and try to "draw" for a blank turn or accept a (hopefully) likely flip...
Turn: A semi-brick is a good spot to continue aggression.

---------------
At first break: 16475 @ 100/200 blinds
Overall, hero has been TAG and there were not a lot of interesting spots.

---------------
2 related hands:
I just realize i float never in PLO8. That is today's revelation. Flatted qt q5 ss on button.
Flop turn checks to me. I barrel turn 2 3 pot them 55% pot. Then stole another pot with delayed turn bet as pfr.
Stealing some small pots. Villain in pre turned flush and rivered royal. Hero bluff catched PSB in limped pot with 2nd set.

hero dealt: QQT5 (QT ss)

2 early position players limp
Hero (button): limps
SB: calls
BB: calls

(5 players - 1000 in pot)
Flop: AT9 (two tone)
5 players check

(5 players - 1000 in pot)
Turn: AT99 both flush draws on turn
4 players check
Hero bets: 625

(2 players - 2050 in pot)
River: AT994 (both flush draws miss)
1 player checks
Hero: bets 1050

Analysis:
Overall, hero began to start exploiting the weak-tight nature + hero's image of being tight. This occurs in this hand and the next hand.
Preflop: This is a somewhat loose limp, but hero has position on the field and spiking a set with QQxx is ok.
Flop: This is a bad flop to bet, even though it checked to hero in position. The board is very draw heavy and folds seem tough.
Turn: This is a much more advantageous spot to bluff. Although some villains may have slowplayed a flopped set/2p into a boat, the majority of villains likely have air.
The villain who calls may have a flush draw and is continuing to draw.
River: Villain still shows weakness. Majority of time, hero can barrel river and generate a fold (as happened her) given villain's likely turn range.
If villain bets, likely villain has boat. Few villains seemingly would try to bluff river after hero bet into many players.

---------------
Hero dealt: JT99 (J9 T9 double suited)
(folds to hero in HJ)
Hero (HJ): raises
2 folds
BB: calls

(2 players - 1500 in pot)
Flop: 885 two tone (hero has both flush draws)
vill: checks
hero: checks

(2 players - 1500 in pot)
Turn: 885A 2 flush draws (hero has both flush draws)
vill: checks
hero: bets 850
vill: folds

Analysis:
Preflop: This seems like a loose open. But given hero's tight image, it may generate folds from CO/Button.
Flop: Hero can sometimes bet flop, but for balance, can check this flop and barrel turn cards too.
Also, hero has flush draw equity that can be realized.
Turn: Hero decides to semibluff here, and it's more credible for hero to have hit this turn A in likely preflop raising range...

---------------
Hero gets moved to new table.

2nd table reads (super passive?)
(table dealer facing the registration area)
1 youngish guy? seemed to shrug off when getting all in
5 lady with e-cigarette
6 older person with malformed hand
7 guy with headphones
8 hero?
9 person with circuit ring

Henry, a dealer (oldish person with spiked hair and glasses) said he saw the player with circuit ring (and seat 1) playing at the 5-5 PLO games the night before

---------------
blinds: 150/300

Hero dealt: AJT2 (A2 suited)
Hero limped UTG
folds to button
button: raises to 900
sb: folds
bb: folds
hero: calls

(2 players - 2250 in pot)
Q84 rainbow (hero has bdfd)
hero: checked
vill: bet ~50% pot (1200)
hero: called

(2 players - 4650 in pot)
Q848 2 tone (hero does not have flush draw)
hero: bets 2/3 pot (3000)
vill: folds

Analysis:
Preflop: Limp/call raise UTG seems ok.
Flop: Hero suspected villain was weak here with a weakish cbet so hero reverse floated. Hero was going to donk bet some turns.

---------------
Blinds: 150/300

Hero dealt: KKQT (KQ)(KT) double suited

folds to HJ
HJ: raises
CO/Button: folds
SB: folds
Hero (BB): calls

(2 players - 1950 in pot)
Flop: K85 two tone
Hero: checks
vill: checks

(2 players - 1950 in pot)
Turn: K85A completes flush
vill: bets pot (1950)
hero: calls

(2 players - 5850 in pot)
River: K85AT - 4 flush
vill: bets pot (5850)
hero: thinks/calls

vill: shows royal flush
hero: folds

Analysis:
Preflop: Flatting OOP seems fine to play a small pot.
Flop: Is c/r better than leading? It's debatable. In a HU situation against live villain, it seems more likely villain will bet (and hero should c/r).
Turn: It seems questionable to just draw to a boat here, although reverse implied odds are huge.
River: It seems less likely that it's a flush based on board texture (4 flush on board), but villain is betting again. Villain's range seems polarized. Hero probably should have folded turn b/c if villain doesn't have 2 barrel bluffs often, hero's probably going to have to call multiple bets anyway.

---------------
340p from twitter
Blinds: 150/300
Hero dealt: AKKQ rainbow

vil1: limps
MP (hero): raises to 900
vil2: (short stack) min raises all in
button: flats
vil1: calls

(4 players - ~5650 in pot, 1 player AI)
Flop: 832 two tone
3 players check

(4 players - ~5650 in pot, 1 player AI)
Turn: 832T completes flush
vil1: checks
hero: checks
vil2: bets
vil1: folds
hero: folds

1 villain shows flush
short stacked villain is out

Analysis:
Flop: Even with a dry side pot, hero should consider betting here for value.
Turn: Easy check/fold as betting villain is showing aggression.

---------------
Hero dealt: AQJ9 (AQ suited)

vil1: limps
hero (MP?): raises to 900
but: calls
sb: folds
bb: folds
vil1: calls

(3 players - 3150 in pot)
Flop: 322 two tone (hero has no flush draw)

Analysis:
Preflop: Standard.
Flop: Hero spewed by not betting here. Honestly, it was a mental misclick or trying to balance (but balance should have only been in HU pot and assumes players are paying attention).
This is an easy cbet, but Hero should have continued aggression and not worry about being exploitable, etc... A bet/fold of ~1800.

---------------
Hero dealt: KQT9 (Q9 suited)

1 limp in front
Hero raises and isolates a limper.

(2 players - 2250 in pot)
Flop: 832 two tone
vill: checks
Hero: bets 1300
vill: folds

---------------
(~356p) - blinds 150/300
Hero dealt: AAJ6 (AJ suited)

1 fold
v1: raises
hero: calls
2 folds
v2: calls
(2 folds)
v3 (button): calls
sb: folds
bb: folds

(4 players - 1650 in pot)
Flop: 722 two tone (hero has nut flush draw)
Hero leads 3/4 pot (1200)
v2: raises
v3: reraises AI
v1: folds
hero: folds
v2: calls

(both players had the remaining deuces)

Analysis:
Flop: This seems like an ok spot to try to steal the pot, although it's 4 handed.
Hero has some backup protection (spiking overfull and sometimes completing the nut flush can be good), but then aggression behind hero forces an easy fold.

hero's stack: 14700 @ 150/300

---------------
Twitter comment: Trying to show my lag which did not exist for some reason this entire trip. No idea why it disappeared. 18k
At break: 17000 300/600 blinds

---------------
Blinds: 300/600

Hero had been relatively quiet preflop (maybe playing 1-2 hands) over a couple rotations in the previous level.

Hero dealt: AQ99 (A9)(Q9) double suited

1 limper
hero: raises to ~1800
button: flats
sb: folds
bb: folds
limper: folds

(2 players - 4500 in pot)
Flop: AK6 two tone (hero flush draw)
hero: checks
button: checks

(Turn/River cards were not properly written down)
(2 players - 4500 in pot)
Turn: AK6 8 two tone (hero has flush draw)
hero: bets 3200
button: calls

(2 players - 10700 in pot)
River: AK6 8 J - flush draw misses
hero: bets 6500
button: raises all in
hero: tanks/folds

Bluff gone bad. Two barrel turn and river. Crippled 4600
Isolated limp as pfr got flatted from button. A9 q9 ds after being quiet for a while. Check back ak6 two tone with hero fl draw
Maybe should have barrelled < 3200 and 6500 and folded to reraise.

Analysis:
Preflop: Normal with strong value hand
Flop: Flop check actually is a mistake. Hero has a lot of equity and should semi-bluff rather than try to "balance" by checking back some flops.
Turn/River: blanks on both streets. Hero decides to run a bluff.
Villain's range for turn is likely broadway wrap (most likely with a pair). There could be some other pair+flush draw combos, but that seems unlikely for villain to raise as a bluff given hero's smallish remaining stack size on betting turn/river.
Hero also notes that bet sizing might be a little too large overall (and given shorter stack sizes). Basically, bet sizes of 3/4 pot are usually unnecessary as many players will fold for smaller bets and hero can get stack in more easily.

Hero's stack: 4600 @ 300/600

---------------
Two blind steals before table break. 5500 @ 400/800

3rd table
No real reads on table after 2 rotations. There didn't seem horribly fishy from hands shown down.
Hero is in seat 5.

---------------
blinds: 500/1000

Hero's stack: 5900 (after 1 blind steal)
Hero dealt: AA54 (A5 suited)
(folds to hero in MP)
MP (hero): raises to 2500
button (~30k): calls

(2 players - 6500 in pot)
Flop: Q98 two tone (hero has no flush draw)
hero: bets 3400 (AI)
button: snap calls

button: shows AQQ3 rainbow

Turn: Q98J (no flush)
River: Q98J7 (no flush)

Analysis:
Preflop: Hero liked to balance w/ 2.5x raise.
Flop: With 1/2 PSB left, this is an easy bet AI.

---------------
Hero out 23 of 55.
Overall, the field seemed like standard Golden Nugget field (relatively soft).

Tuesday, June 18, 2013

Caesar's 240 PLO8 MTT

15000 starting chips with 50/100 blinds and 30 min levels with reentry

1st table reads:
Reads:
1 young Asian guy
2
3 young Asian lady
4
5 "fighter" who said he did MMA boxing
6 middle aged quiet European
7 young white guy?
8 unknown who eventually gets replaced by Asian middle aged player with PCA cap (who was at Wynn and may have been at my 2012 WSOP PLO8 table)
9 hero

---------------
Hero's stack was around 20k starting and had not really played any hands.

Blinds: 150/300
Hero dealt: A642 (A42 suited)
Hero raised to 750

(folds to hero)
UTG+1 (hero): raises to 750
(folds to button)
button (5): calls
SB: folds
BB: (folds)

(2 players - 1950 in pot)
Flop: T99 two tone (hero does not have FD)
Hero bets 1050
Button: raises to 5000
Hero: folds

Analysis:
Preflop: Standard raise in EP.
Flop: Easy bet/fold spot. Bet sizing was also good (~1/2 PSB given effective stacks were around 20k).

---------------
Hero dealt: AK52 (A2 suited)
6 (~20k): raises to 900
7: folds
8 (~12k): calls
9 (~18k): hero 3bets to 3500
(other players fold)
6: calls
8: calls

(3 players - 11000 in pot)
Flop: J65 rainbow (hero has backdoor flush draw)
6: checks
8: checks
hero: bets 6500
6: folds
8 calls with 600 behind

Turn: J65 Q (rainbow)
8: goes all in
hero: calls
8: shows AT98 (AT suited, but no flush draw)

River: J65Q4

Hero scoops and stack = 31,200

Analysis:
Hero got gifted a stack!
Preflop: 3b here to squeeze and go all in is a decent play to build an aggressive image. The hand plays well hot/cold equity wise.
Flop: Effective SPR is ~1-1.5. AHero wants to be able to setup smaller bets in 3b pots later. Hero has enough equity to apply pressure, but easily it's a bet/call in this situation.

---------------
Updated Player Reads
8: New Asian male player with PCA cap who was at the Wynn.

Also, at least 4-5 people at the table ordered drinks as seats 1 & 3 had just busted out of the WSOP PLO8 day 2 (in the money)....
Seat 1 mentioned that they noticed Jason Mercier was betting multiple streets on monotone board with air. Seat 1 exploited it and was able to get a lot of chips (the only chips that player got that day).

Hero's stack at first break: 30k @ 300/600 blinds

---------------
Shortly after break:
Hero dealt: AA33 (A3 suited)
Hero in BB

(folds to SB)
SB: limps
hero (BB): raises
SB: folds
Hero won small pot by raising preflop.

---------------
Blinds: 300/600
8 (~28k): Had seen at various PLO8 MTTs (Wynn $550, possibly 2012 WSOP $1500)
Hero dealt: AKJ4 (AJ suited)
Effective stack sizes: ~30k

(folds to button)
8 (button): raises to 2100
hero (SB): calls
BB: folds

(2 players - 5000 in pot)
Flop: A93 rainbow (hero has BDFD)
hero: checks
8: bets 4000
hero: raises to 12000
8: calls

(2 players - 29000 in pot)
Turn: A937 (two flush, hero has no FD)
hero: bets ~18000 (AI)
8: calls for less

8: shows AKKQ (AK suited, but no flush draw)

River: A9372
Hero gets 3/4 pot (splitting with top pair Aces w/ King kicker + hero has only low).

Analysis:
Reads: Villain assumed to be at least somewhat competent. Although villain's opening button range may be very wide in this spot.
Preflop: This is an ok hand to call with against a wide range. There's merit to 3-betting in SB too.
Flop: This is likely a possible spew by hero...Hero only has TPTK, although villain rarely has 2p (A3 much more weighted than A9). Hero was trying to fold out a bunch of villain's air and/or draws which can get half the pot w/ likely semi-bluff.
Turn: Likely a spew against most of villain's range.
If villain had nut low draw, villain is never folding and could be freerolling hero if flop backdoor flush draw became a flush draw.
Hero's still behind the same range of hands, although any hands that picked up 2 pair are now ahead of hero.
Basically, this bet doesn't really go in for value and is likely a spew.

A likely PPT Sim based on villain's range and perception as non-fishy:
Omaha Hi/Lo Simulation ?
600,000 trials (Randomized)
board: ac 9h 3dHand Equity Scoops Wins Hi Ties Hi Wins Lo Ties Lo
ah kh kc qs 32.54% 119,793 243,012 33,859 0 0
42, aa, 99, 33, a9, a3$w$w, ak 67.46% 323,129 323,129 33,859 292,157 0


Hero was gifted more chips as villain called off with bottom end of his range.

---------------
blinds: 400/800
20 min later at 300 600. A2 q5 ss. 643 rainbow. Hero bets and calls all in from shorter stack. Had aj62 bdfd. 2a run out for scoop. 64200 @ 400 800

Hero dealt: AQ52 (A2 suited)
(folds to seat 6 in UTG+2)
6 (~15k): limps
(folds to hero)
hero (CO): raises to 3000
(folds to BB)
BB: calls
6: calls

(3 players - 9400 in pot)
Flop: 643 rainbow (hero does not have flush draw)
BB: checks
6: checks
hero: bets 6000
BB: folds
6: raises to 15000 (AI)
hero: calls

6: shows AJ62 (A6 suited) for backdoor flush draw

Turn: 6432 (rainbow)
River: 6432A
Hero: scoops and is up to 64200 @ 400/800

Analysis:
Preflop: Isolation play is normal
Flop: Hero is bet/calling with nut hand in both direction.

---------------
Tweet: A possible bad fold to 50% bet on a82 w a832 oop in bb after calling PFR.

Note: Hero does not have any recollection about hand or villains...

---------------
Table unfortunately breaks (one player had reentered after busting, and was placed back on same table to start).

Hero gets moved to table with big stack 2 of the left of hero (Mickey Appleman has the stack).

---------------
Table 2 reads:
*my twitter also listed the wrong player. Mickey Appleman was not at my table, but actually Paul Magriel.

1
2 person w/ IPAD (eventually villain would play hand against hero AI)
3 hero
4 British person, friendly and seemed competent
5 Paul Magriel - A very famous chess/backgammon player (X-22) and famous for using 2200/2200 bet size increments; also creator of "M" expounded upon by Harrington
6
7 middle aged lady
8
9

---------------
Hero has no reads on any players (hero has played maybe ~10 hands since being moved to this table.

Hero dealt: AT92 (AT suited)

(folds to seat 7)
7 (~25k): raises to 4200
(players fold)
2: calls
sb (hero): calls
bb: folds

(3? players - 13800 in pot)
flop: 964 two tone (hero does not have flush draw)
hero: checks
7 (PFR): bets pot (~13800)
2: folds
hero: raises all in
7: calls

7: shows A2xx (nut flush draw + nut low draw)

turn: 964J (completes flush)
river: 964JQ (completes flush)

Analysis:
Preflop: standard call
Flop: Stack sizes are ~1 PSB if hero flat calls villain's bet. Is there merit to flat calling and seeing the turn?
Yes, b/c villain (w/o reads) is not likely bet/folding and not assumed to be tricky.
Thus, hero should try to use postflop edge by flop call and see turn card. Also, there is little if any fold equity especially after making pot sized continuation bet and did not look like someone who was capable of bet/folding.

Hero's stack: ~30k @ 600/1200

---------------
blinds: 600/1200
Only 1 PSB left if flatted. Down to like 30k. Then flatted akkt ak suited on button. Should have flatted ak3r. 2 on turn. Villain has wheel wrap

Hero dealt: AKKT (AK suited)

(folds to seat 1 in HJ)
1 (~28k): raises
2 (~25k): calls
button (hero, 30k): calls
SB: folds
BB: folds

(3 players - 12600 in pot)
Flop: AK3 rainbow
1: bet 6000
2: folds
hero: raises to 15000
1: calls
2: folds

(2 players - 42600 in pot)
Turn: AK32 (flush draw)
1: bets all in (12500)
hero: calls

(2 players - 1 all in)
River: AK32T (flush draw)

Analysis:
Preflop: Call is fine
Flop: Is there much value in raising the flop? Will villain fold a lot of flop c-bet range that has equity but can't stand raise? Probably not.
Turn: Because pot is bloated, hero actually has right price to call for half. Villain could also be rarely betting a counterfeited nut low.


Hero bricks and at 1700 600 1200

---------------
Short stack tutorial:

1. J652 j5 suited. Folded to hero UTG+2 and hero raises all in.
1A. Board = QA36k and gets half of 4 way all in. 3400 but will be on big blind at 1000 2000.
Analysis: his seemed pretty normal to get it in for a raise AI and hope to scare players who aren't looking at stacks. 3 low cards are a good candidate to try to get half.

2. Hero Folded t954 r utg
3. 10 minute break.
4. Blinds up and hero did not win chip race. 3000 1000 2000
5. Oops. Did not see villain limped in small blind. Could have say option with kj t2 ss. Would have gotten in eventually.
6. Board runs 96564 hero had flush draw on flop and made on river. Small blind had 8642 with suit.

---------------
Hero out in level 9
~108/200 entries

Overall, the field seemed very soft and players were making a lot of mistakes in this "turbo" MTT.

Monday, June 17, 2013

WSOP 1500 PLO8 MTT

1500 starting stack with 2 rebuys with 25/25 blinds and 60 min. levels

Table Reads by the time hero's first hand was played.

1 original player was middle aged person...seemed to try to show lots of aggression with naked low draw early on
also took all bullets
2 Hero
3 middle aged man - seemed like microstakes hero
4 middle aged lady who mentioned she'd rather bust and hang out on the beach or build up a stack (and her husband had performed well at another WSOP event)
5 seemed competent
6 likely old nit?
7 older guy with Wynn cap? (maybe inverted with seat 6?)
Understands showdown raised oop with aa5 with suit
Checked 887 flop though...w/ low draw onboard
Villain in 7 hole has gotten aa5 twice, flopped set and held up
8 youngish man - maybe internet player?
9 older gentleman, likely loose cannon and said phrases like "I'll probably suck out on you today"
10 not sure if same person initially
eventually Asian middle aged lady?

Overall: table seemed passive + hero got some free plays when in BB.

---------------
Hero was not overly focused to start. Hero dropped cell phone. Luckily, Rio security was able to find the cell phone. (Second year in a row hero was distracted during WSOP PLO8.)

---------------
blinds: 25/25 (10 min. left in level)
Hero had 0 VPIP over 2 rotations

Hero dealt: AKT5 (AK suited)

8: limps
hero (CO): raises to 75
(2 folds)
4 (SB): calls
BB: folds

(3 players to flop - 200 in pot)
Flop: AA6 two tone (hero has no FD)

200 in pot
Hero bets 150
Villain calls
3
Villain donks 2/3 pot
Hero calls
AA63 (2 flush on board)
3 turn

AA636 (2 flush on board)
Villain checks
Hero checks behind

Villain shows a443
Hero mucks

Analysis:
Preflop: Iso-raise is better to try to get it HU or 3 way maximum.
Flop bet is best with top trips + top kicker and no low on 2 flush board.
Turn donk is a bit scary as villain leads w/ a lot of A3xx, but also 42xx combos.
River: Hero is not really going to get better to fold (as 42xx does not fold), so check back is pretty normal


Hero takes add on - 2250 w/ 1 bullet remaining

---------------
Break: 1925 + 1 rebuy chip
Hero has played 1 hand thus far...

---------------
A couple hands into level 3
50/100 blinds

Hero dealt: AJ43 (AJ) suited

2 players limped
SB (hero): calls
BB: checks

(4 players - 400 in pot)
Flop: 998 two tone
4 checks

Turn: 998T (two tone)
Hero donk bets 250
(3 players fold)

Analysis:
Once flop checks, hero decides to use tight image to try to steal pot (hero is bet/folding).

---------------
Hero dealt: AKJ2 (AK suited)
(folds to hero)
Hero raises to 250
SB (5): calls 575 remaining
6: calls

(3 players - 750 in pot)
J75r hero has bdfd
5 donks 575 (AI)
6 folds
Hero calls

QJ on river
Hero wins pot and villain mucked hand

Analysis:
Preflop: Raise in LP with decently strong hand.
Flop: Standard call with TPTK + NL for < 1 PSB

Hero's stack: 3300 plus rebuy

---------------
Hero dealt: A532 (A2 suited)
folds to hero in MP+1
hero (MP+1): raises to 250
3 folds
6 (BB): calls

(2 players - 550 in pot)
Flop: 642 two tone, hero has bdfd
6: checks
hero: bets 400
6: villain folds

Analysis:
Preflop: Normal open in MP+1. At weak table, trying to build pot to be able to get stacks in by river on favorable flops.
Flop: This is a relatively favorable flop. Hero cbets for value, but villain folds. I don't think there's much merit in checking back since there's no read that villain is aggressive.

Hero dealt: A932 (A9 suited)
Hero in BB

Prologue on Table Dynamics: There had been 2 times where it folded to sb and sb limps. Hero had raised 1x (villain folded preflop) and 1x it got checked preflop.
folds to sb
sb: limps
hero: raises to 300
sb: folds

Analysis: Keeping pressure on with a good chunk of hero's ranges preflop is smart especially in position. It can help for metagame by getting some folds later on and/or provide avenues for more pressure in the future.

Hero dealt: AJ32 (AJ suited)

(3 players - 1100 in pot)
Flop: T88 rainbow
hero: checks
6 (PFR): checks
8: checks

(3 players - 1100 in pot)
Turn: T885 rainbow (hero has no flush draw)
hero: bets 625
6 (PFR): calls
8: folds

(2 players - 2350 in pot)
River: T8857 rainbow
6 (PFR): bets 725
hero: calls
villain shows AJx2 and hero and villain chop

Analysis:
Turn: Hero betting here to try to pick up an orphan pot seems ok. Maybe hero can bet larger (~750), but villains aren't likely paying attention to pot size...)
River: Although hero has Ace high, the only draw that gets there is 96 (straight) or villain being too late and betting rivered boat. Most villains would bet or c/r the turn. Hero is fortunate to share same high and low to chop.

Hero's stack: 3925

---------------
(352p) - level 4 w/ blinds at 100/200
Villain read:
5: seemed competent but possibly trappy and was table chip leader; seemed on tighter side, but not a nit.

Hero dealt: AKJ2 (AJ suited)

(2 players in pot - 600 in pot)
Flop: J75 rainbow
5: checks
Hero: bets 475
5: calls

(2 players in pot - 1550 in pot)
Turn: J752 two tone (hero does not have flush draw)
5: bets 1000
Hero: tanks for a minute, then calls

(2 players in pot - 3550 in pot)
River: J7527 (flush draw misses)
5: bets 1000
Hero: tanks for a minute, then calls
villain bets the pot
hero tanks for a couple minutes, but eventually folds.

After the hand, villain says he had A743, but never showed.

Analysis:
Preflop: Standard preflop raise
Flop: Standard cbet
Turn:
A. Villain donking (not a PSB) a counterfeit low for a non-pot sized amount seemed weird.
B. The smallish bet size confused hero.
C. Hero felt villain was competent, but was hero sophisticated enough to donk bluff a counterfeit card? Or is villain just betting for value/freeroll with nut low (A3xx)?
D. Turn call or fold can be ok. But a turn call could put hero in bad RIO (reverse implied odds) spot.
River:
A. Hero tanks and folds correctly. This probably wasn't too hard of a decision, but at least hero thought about it a while.
B. AAxx, KKxx, QQxx have spiked better 2 pair and are better than hero's hand. Other hands that were already ahead (7xxx) are still ahead. Hero could chop AJxx, but a lot of them probably have a low.
C. Hero's EV is not really high with river call.

Hero's stack: 1825 with 1 bullet

---------------
A couple hands later (about 15 min. later):

Reads on players in this hand:
1: ~1300 and just moved to the table (new player)
2 (hero): 1675
5: ~6000 with read that villain was likely competent
8: ~9000 with read that villain was huge whale and said comments like "I'll probably suck out on people today".

Hero dealt: AJ42 (A4 suited)

Hero in BB
5: limps
8: raises to ~400
10: calls
1 (SB): calls
2 (hero/BB): calls
5: calls

(5 players - 2000 in pot)
Flop: AT8 rainbow (hero has BDFD)
1: donks for 600
2: hero raises all in
5: calls
8: raises pot (although there's controversy for if he said pot or raised all in)
1: calls
5: thinks for a bit, then calls

1: shows 42xx
2: has top 2 + 2nd nut low draw)
5: has nut low draw
8: has AAxx (top set)

(4 players - 3 all in - pot = ~5.2k in main, 1.2k in first side pot, 9k in second side pot = ~16k)
Turn: AT8Q flush draw, but not hero's flush draw)
River: AT8QT

Analysis:
Preflop: Normal call of preflop raise
Flop: Hero's high strength is pretty weak MW. It might actually be closer to a fold. This is a tough spot. Different moves are possible (although some/all decisions seem close).
Negative: Hero does not have NLD. Because it's multiway (although hero has a blocker to nut low), the NLD is still more likely to exist.
A better high hand will likely exist. Given the action, hero might get a worser hand like A8xx (w/o redraws) to fold.
Positive: Hero's intent is to try to overrepresent high hand, but have low draw as backup. But, it may not really work in this case.

Hypothetical: If hero had top 2, it's a cooler. although considering there were 4 people in the pot, it's not surprising to see someone with a set. Nut low draws are definitely in the mix too (and one person had one)

Overall, this was probably a mistake to get all chips in. More often than not, hero is in a bad spot and hoping to push out other people may have been too optimistic...
There is some merit with the play though, but maybe not given the fact that hero's OOP and can find a better spot given likely edge against the table.

***note: hero's twitter account likely had a typo and listed AT42. AJ42 seems more right and makes sense given the layout of keys on the phone (5 = JKL & 8 = TUV). Hero was really mad about hand after fact b/c it was likely a mistake, rather than a "cooler" situation.

Hero uses last bullet: 1500 in chips.

---------------
Hero dealt: K532 (53 suited)
hero limped behind a couple looser players.
A villain behind raised.
Hero called

In multiway (likely 4 handed) pot, hero folded on the flop (board was like Q65)

Hero's stack: 1125 @ 100/200 blinds
Analysis: There seemed like less Aces in players' hands given the players who were in the pot...Thus, the reason to call with a 3 wheel card hand (which is weak). There's also merit in folding preflop.

---------------
Hero dealt: AQ63 (A3) suited

Hero (UTG): raises to 525
8: calls
(1 fold)
10 (SB): calls
1 (BB): folds

(3 players - 1775 in pot)
Flop: K87 two tone (hero does not have flush draw)
hero: bets 600 (all in)
9: calls
10: calls
Turn: K87J two tone
9: checks
10: checks
River: K87J9 (flush draw misses)
9: checks
10: checks
seat 10 shows rivered straight
Hero is out in level 4.

Analysis:
Preflop: Neither villain in hand seemed super aggressive.
Flop: Is there merit for betting and hoping to get other villains to fold? It's debatable.
Villains seemed passive and kind of calling station like, so in actuality, maybe there's some merit in taking passive line? Possibly, I'm being results oriented...

---------------
Overall Analysis:
This was a good table draw. There were some unfortunate coolers (especially in MW situation), but it was +EV to enter the MTT.

Sunday, June 16, 2013

Rio PLO Cash Gaming

5/5 PLO cash
PLO cash game

-----------
After busting out of the WSOP PLO8 MTT, Hero decided to try to pass some time by playing some PLO cash (while waiting for Big O seat).
Hero's mindset wasn't all that great though.

(not sure if I was mentally completely there
Hero dealt: Ak86 (A6 suited)
1 player raises to 50
1 player calls
Hero called 50
2 other players reraise and get all in
Hero is 2nd last to act with 450 behind.
Hero thinks for a while, then calls.
- called 4th of 5 after calling initial raise to 50 being AI for 500
hero flipped 5 way with AK86 (A6 suited)

Hero bricks flip.

Analysis:
After talking with a friend, this was likely a spew since Aces are probably blocked.

-----------
Hero also made a passive play out of position and let an aggressive short stack (relatively speaking, 60 BBs deep, but had been bluffing often in short time at table) bluff 2x while hero had a nut flush on turn/river..

No other interesting hands to note in the hour of play.

Wynn 550 PLO8 MTT

3*4k bullets at 50/100 blinds and 40 min. levels with reentry

Hero late registered around 2:45PM after debating whether the tournament would finish today. With ~50 runners at the time of my registration, it made sense.

Initial table: felt very fishy based on hands that were seen at showdown.

1 old person
2 hero
3 youngish male (30s); likely internet player with weird bet sizes
8 lady who seemed kind of bad

Played 0 hands over 2 rotations

blinds: 150/300
Hero had 3300
Hero dealt: AKT2 (AK suited)
Hero pfr UTG+2
2 players call behind (approximately 3500+ in chips)

(3150 in pot - 3 players)
Hero jams Q83 hero FD

villain 1: shows Aj63 (63 suited in clubs) (bad flush draw)
villain 2: JT98 two tone (no flush draw)
Offsuit 2
Offsuit 7

hero loses stack

Analysis:
Preflop: There's some argument for limping at a really loose table and taking a flop...but not a lot, IMO.
Flop: Hero usually has enough equity to call with NFD + NLD, even w/o a pair.
Hero loses 1 bullet and uses 1 of 2 remaining bullets.
Hero's stack: 4000

---------------
blinds: 200/400
Read: Seat 3: Micro MTT player who bets way exploitably on 888 board...
2 limps in front
Hero limped on button with aj62 (62)
SB: checked
3 (BB): checked

flop: 888 rainbow
3: donk bet ~400.
everyone folds.
Hero could try to float multiple streets...but maybe not.

Analysis:
On these types of boards, hero did not know how often villain 3 barrels when donking small on this type of board. With such few hero chips, it may not necessarily be right to float and try to take it away on turn/river.

Also, this was the second "bingo" (3 of a kind) flop at this MTT.

---------------
Hero dealt: AK62 (K2 suited)

New seat 3: open raises UTG (had ~2500 in chips) to 1400
hero flat calls in BB (~4000 in chips)

(2 players - 3000 in pot)
Flop: 643 (2 tone)
hero bets near pot (all in)
3: calls and shows A6xx with NFD

brick/brick and players chop pot.

Analysis:
Hero's hand is kind of not strong, but villain may not bet a counterfeited A3xx unless there's other high equity (flush draw, straight, etc...).

---------------
blinds: 200/400
Hero dealt: A832 (A32 suited)

9: seemed to limp very often in a lot of pots (like 40/8)

seat 9: raised to 1200
hero (CO): calls
BB: calls

(3 players - 3000 in pot)
Q74 rainbow (hero has no FD)
villain: bets pot
hero: folds
BB: folds

Analysis:
Preflop: Hero's not a huge fan of 3-betting here with such a bad high equity hand. This hand encourages multiway action.
Flop: Drawing to half the pot for stack is not advisable.

hero's stack: 4900

---------------
Hero dealt: AKT3 (AT suited)

(folds to MP player)
7: raises to 1200
9: flat calls
hero (sb): calls
bb: calls

(4 players - ~2900 in pot)
Flop: 973
Hero c/f to bet from PFR. No showdown.

Analysis:
Hero could have squeezed preflop with a decently strong hand and "gambled" w/ high equity...but, against the villains who were still in the hand, there was not much fold equity.

---------------
Eventually, late registration ends and all barrels are taken. Hero takes all barrels and has 6300 @ 200/400.

---------------
One of the players who busted is replaced by a shorter stack.
The replacement player was a "fun Cuban" (Miguel) who i had played a WSOP PLO8 SNG satellite in 2010.

Sadly, he eventually busts after break in level 6...

---------------
A882 (A8 82 double suited)
folded to hero in CO

Hero raises 2.5x
blinds fold

4700 @ 200/400 blinds
First blind steal of the MTT at level 5 = good starting table with lots of loose play.

Hero: Dealt AQ83 rainbow
(folds to hero in SB)
hero raises to 1200
villain: calls
Flop: 852 rainbow

Hero bets
villain: calls

Villain had 7653 r.

Turn/River: 852 3 7 rainbow

Hero doubles to 7200 @ 250/500.
Analysis:
Preflop: AQW is a good hand in blind vs. blind battle.
Flop: With such short stacks and TPTK + nut low, not much to talk about.

---------------
Hero dealt: 5432 (53 suited)

folds to hero in HJ
Hero (HJ): raises to 1250
folds to BB
BB: calls

(2 players: 2750 in pot)
Flop: AQ2 rainbow
BB: checks
hero: bets 1900
villain: folds

Analysis:
Preflop: Good hand to open raise and have position on the field.
Flop: Betting flop with gutshot wheel wrap + good chance at villains folding hands like naked top pair = good semi-bluff opportunity.

---------------
Table breaks: hero's stack = 6000 @ 250/500
Shortly after table breaks, MTT goes on break.

---------------
1 older guy
2 middle aged lady
3 hero
older guy in seat 1
new table with lady on my right)
guy in seat 5 3b jams

Hero dealt: AKQ3 rainbow
9: limps
(2 folds)
3 (hero): raises to ~1700
5: calls
sb: folds
bb: calls

(4 players - ~5250 in pot)
Flop: 884 two tone
BB: donks ~4000
3 players - fold

Analysis:
Preflop: Isolation raise fails.
Flop: Fold is standard as villain donking in MW pot = trips (8xxx) or better

Hero's stack: 6400 300 600

---------------
Tweet:
Wow. Q64 monotone and facing PSB from straightforward villain. Another guy said he folded a266 in position with 3 spr remaining. Wow.

Analysis:
Seriously? Live players - lol.
Given that effective stacks were 3PSB, should a player ever fold with 2nd set + NLD on monotone board? Seems crazy without a sick read (villain who folded probably does not have a sick read.)

---------------
Effective stacks (hero is shorter stack): 6000
blinds = 300/600
J532 (32 suited)
7 (BB): reraises to ~3000
hero: calls

(2 players - ~6500 in pot)

flop: 329 two tone
villain leads pot (putting hero all in)
hero calls AI

villain: shows AAA8 (A8 suited)

329J5 (no flush draw completes)

Analysis:
Preflop: Some argument could be made for folding, but chances of getting eliminated with 3 low cards is not super high to counterfeit protection. Also, Hero is getting immediate price to call preflop 3-bet.
Flop: Flopping 2 pair/no low draw = outflopping aces and hero should call.

---------------
~5:20PM
blinds = 300/600
hero's stack: 3300
hero dealt: AT62 in UTG+2 (no suit)
Hero raises to 1500
player in seat 6 (seemed tight/competent?) reraises
Hero: calls

Flop/Turn/River
3s 2s 4s 8h Jd

Hero: busts

Analysis:
Hero can never relaly fold here getting such good price to call. Equity against AA$w is ~38% and pot odds are ~25%.
Hand Equity Scoops Wins Hi Ties Hi Wins Lo Ties Lo
at62 38.35% 124,677 173,708 4,246 175,848 56,138
aa$w 61.65% 257,240 422,046 4,246 74,431 56,138

---------------
Hero - out 29/53, paying 7 places
Overall, the field was very soft with few ok players. Many good players were likely scared off because it was scheduled to run 2 days.

Saturday, June 15, 2013

Binions 200 PLO8 MTT

20000 chips with 50/100 blinds and 40 min. levels
Hero entered at end of late registration, so blinds are 200/400.

Hero showed up right at the end of late registration. It is a reentry MTT, but they give people the option of "surrendering" their stack at the end of the reentry period and gaining a new stack. This seems like a great move by Binion's tournament director to keep "integrity of game (ie: no chip dumping)" if people are trying to get a new entry with full stack.

---------------
Player reads:
4: "likely opposite player"
Bets a ton of pots...but then played nfd/nld super passively
Although, could be "live player" who only bets made hands or bluffs.
8: 20-30ish Asian guy

---------------
Blinds: 200/400
No reads on villain
Hero dealt in BB: AQT7 (AT suited)

4-5 folds
older person min-raised to 800
Hero calls in BB

(1800 in pot - 2 players)
Flop: A98 Hero nfd
Hero checks
v: bets 1800 (PSB)
hero: calls

(5400 in pot - 2 players)
Turn 8
Hero checks
v: bets 5400 (PSB)
hero: folds
Villain shows 99xx

Analysis:
Preflop: This seems ok with suited A OOP to min-raise.
Flop: This seems fine to call the flop bet. There's a little merit to c/r, but few hands seem to fold.
Turn: Board pair = likely villain is value betting boat+ and hero folds.

---------------
I need to watch pfr iso size
Hero: Dealt AQ T5 DS

(blinds: 200/400)
1 limp
folds to hero in MP
hero: raises to 1400
BB: calls
EP: calls

(~4600 - 3 players)
Flop: K83 (rainbow, both hero bdfd)
3 players check

(~4600 - 3 players)
Turn: K834 (hero has nfd)
2 checks
hero: bets ~3000
villains: fold

Analysis: It seems debatable to bet turn w/o reads. This is a thin semibluff, but 2p and/or nlds continue to call.

A couple hands later...
Hero: Dealt: A963 (A3 suited)

folds to hero
hero: raises to 1400
sb (seat 4): calls

(3200 in pot - 2players
J95r
4: checks
hero: bets 1600
4: folds

Analysis:
Flop: Bet/fold seems ok here w/o reads. It's a high only board w/ low only possible via backdoor.

---------------
Hero: Dealt kqj9 kj suited in BB

[300/600]
(2 folds)
2: older person raises to 2100
folds to hero
sb: folds
hero: calls

(4500 in pot - 2 players)
Flop: A93 rainbow
hero: checks
2: bets 2000
hero: folds

---------------
blinds: 300/600
All stacks around ~20000

hero: dealt A443 (A3 suited)
4 players (seat 9 behind)+ bb
Hero (UTG+1) - raises to 1500
MP: calls
sb: calls
bb: calls

(6000 in pot - 4 players)
Check k75 rainbow (hero has BD NFD)
4 players check

(6000 in pot - 4 players)
Turn: K753 (hero has NFD)
2 players check
Bets 4100 when checked to

players fold

Analysis:
Preflop: Fairly loose open UTG+1. It ma
Flop: Hero doesn't have a lot of equity and checks.
Turn: Hero's bluffing as a semi-bluff.

---------------
Table had been playing tight as a couple hands were folded to the BB.
Thus, hero tried to steal on button with junky hand. Hero tried to limp on button and hope to steal pot if players were uninterested

hero: dealt AQ95 (A5 suited) on button

2 limps
button (hero): limps
sb: folds
bb: checks

(3000 in pot - 4 players)
Flop: K53 rainbow (hero has no FD)
4 checks

(3000 in pot - 4 players)
Turn: K53T (no fd on turn)
2 checks
hero: bets 1400
got slightly minraised to 3000 in LP
2 folds
hero: folds

---------------
Hero: dealt ATT5 (AT suited to diamonds)

UTG+1: limps
UTG+2 (Hero): limps behind
MP: raises
but: 3 bets
everyone folds
MP: calls

Flop: 664 two diamonds
MP: checks
but: bets
MP: folds

Analysis: Calling with ATxx against likely AAW is really bad.

---------------
Player reads/notes:
Some updated villain reads:reads
3: 3-bet w/ AAT5 no suits
4: was raising/getting all in preflop with QJT8 QTss
7: bets non-nut wrap, bad fd on 84q68 board

---------------
Hero had not played any hands for 2 rounds
Villains in SB/BB were really tight.
Hero: dealt in CO: AQ94 r

(1800 at 400 800)
(5400 - 3 players)
Flop: Q93 rainbow
sb: checks
bb: checks
Hero bets 2700
sb: folds
bb: folds

---------------
break:
Hero's stack: 22600 @ 500/1000 blinds

---------------
blinds: 500/1000
3rd hand after break:

Hero: dealt AK KQ DS in BB

UTG+2: limps
MP: raises to 2500
2 calls
hero: calls in BB

(10000 in pot, 4 players)
Flop: KJ5 (two tone, hero has no FD)
Busted around 80. 500 1000 blinds hero 22600 3rd hand. Limp and small 2500 raise. 3 calls and hero calls with akkq ak kq ds. KJ5 two ton ...

Flop: KJ5 two tone
BB: checks
UTG+2: checks
MP: bets 7000
but: folds
hero: raises pot (all in - 22.6k)

MP: Shows A952 with NFD.

Board: KJ537 (7 completes villain flush)
Hero: out

Analysis:
Preflop: OK to call with nut suit in bloated pot.
Flop: This seems like ok play, but some merit to donk betting/calling given stack size and drawy nature of board multiway.
Hero didn't really have read if villain would bet flop with 4 players, so a bet/call may have been better.

---------------
Hero: out ~90/140

Additional note: Thought about late registering for the badugi/badacey/baduci MTT ($125) at Golden Nugget, but decided against it.

Friday, June 14, 2013

Venetian 600 PLO8 MTT

15000 starting chips at 50/100 blinds with 40 min. levels and reentry

to do:
1. delete 5798 hand?
2. AA52 hand - what is 8 (steve's) hand?
8: shows a AQxx (no low) and scoops
3. 35672 board
what's hero's hand?
4. reformat other hands? (and also # of ----)

1371256844956
(840p)

players
1: old nit
2: younger player who I eventually resaw at the WSOP stud/8 event
3: nit?
4: younger player, friends with seat 2
5: "FL" older person who was friends with loud guy I had played 8 game with
6: Jason
7: Bryce
8: Steve
9: hero

---------------
board:
5798
Hero had qt98

was hero in MP?
was it MW? (limped pot)
who was villain? (seat 2?)
do i even include this?

likely checked around flop
hero probably c/f turn
unlikely action: i suspect hero bet flop/gave up on turn/river

---------------
In first rotation around table:

barrelled ak82 r button open
1 (SB): folds
2 (BB): folds

---------------
(villain - Bryce in seat 7 (hero in seat 9))
Isoed KQJ9 (KJ)
Bet 775 two tone
Ace offsuit turn

Isoed for 1750 player behind
3 players to flop
Hero bet 625
EP called bet
Barrelled 1325

On river
Villain leads super small (1k)
hero folds

---------------
12550 from 15k

522 twitter note
100 200 12025

Smart Aggro player IP was pfr (likely seat 5) - raised
2 other players behind (CO/BUT)
Bet 773 (flop?)
Hero oop with a932r (likely sb)
BB limped

hero checks
BB checks
5: bets
2 players fold
hero folds

Analysis:

Hero instead c/f - little chance to scoop
Should hero have c/r flop instead?

---------------
rare preflop sighting
friend in seat 8 repotted preflop OOP then bet HLL board (like J64 two tone). After taking down the pot, he then shows down AA23 double suited (had no flush draw, but had enough equity to call a reraise all in for his stack)

---------------
blinds: 100/200
button: seat 1
Hero been nitty
Hero: dealt AA52 (A5 suited)


(seat 8) had limped
hero raised to 500
1: calls
8: calls

Flop: 963 two tone (hero has no FD)

8: checks
hero bet 1125
1: calls

Turn: 963Q (completes flush)
Check
check

River: 963QQ (completes flush)
Check
Check

8: shows a AQxx (no low) and scoops
hero shows AAxx

Hero's stack: down to 9900

Analysis:
I think this is completely normal to cbet this flop with overpair+nld w/ counterfeit protection. However, it may be a fold if villain was nitty puts money on turn/river (this villain was a bit looser/non-nut peddling though).

---------------
Hero dealt: 9632 963s
folds to hero
hero raises in MP
button calls
5 (SB): calls

(3 players to flop)
Cc
Kq7 two tone (hero has no FD)
Hero bet 1k
CR to 3 fold

Analysis:
Player 5 seemed like a tough/tricky villain. Since 2 high flops are less likely to hit a "tight range" (which was most players' perception of hero), this is a good spot to bluff check raise or semi-bluff check raise with 2p+, maybe wrap+flush draw, nfd, nfd+pair, etc...
In retrospect, it may not have great to cbet this flop....

---------------
hero's stack at 1st break: 7800

---------------
Hero reminder: Note the blind increases!
blinds: 150/300

Hero: dealt A765 (A5 suited)

Hero raised to 500, but was forced to make it 600.
4 way pot
8: pots the high only flop
hero: folds

---------------
blinds: 150/300
Hero: dealt AA66 (A6 suited)
(folds to seat 6)
6: limps
8: hero raises to 1000
everyone else folds
6: calls

(pot: 2450, 2 players)
Qkk8Ar

6: checks
hero checks

6: checks
hero checks

6: bets 750
Hero raises to 3250
6: folds

Analysis:
This seems fine overall.
Flop: A bet will not get called by worse.
Turn: Same (no low is possible)
River: I think bet sizing is ok to try to get value from someone slowplaying Qxxx or a non-nut boat.

---------------
Updated Player Read:
8: eventually busts and replaced by African American (middle aged guy). At this point, people were saying he's fairly aggressive and had shown aggression in some pots.

---------------
703p - blinds: 150/300
Hero dealt in BB: AT63 (A3 suited)

(folds to seat 5)
5: calls
7: calls
sb: calls
hero: checks

(4 players)
flop: T72 two tone on flop (I don't remember exact flop)
Checks around
SB: checks
hero (BB): checks
5: checks behind

turn: T72Q (completes hero nut flush draw)
hero leads 850
everyone folds

Analysis:
Flop: Hero was trying to go for check/raise, but failed. I might have been too hopeful of it in a 4 way pot (especially in a limped pot).
Turn: It's time to try to get value, but there's no value to be found.

---------------
740p: blinds: 200/400
Hero dealt: A982 (A2 suited)
Suited to a2
Hero raised utg
5: Button smart/aggro player bet called
Bryce inbb calls
Check j54r
Hero turns nut flush draw

J543 (hero has NFD)
Checks to button
5: Villain bets
Hero c/r all in
AKT2 r

Hero loses freeroll

7150 at 200 400

Analysis:
Flop: Hero doesn't want to get blown off NLD + non-nut gutshot + BDFD
Turn: Going for a check/raise here seemed right. While an A or 2 isn't the greatest of cards, going for a c/r all in seems best to try to freeroll someone with naked A2.

---------------
834p: blinds: 250/500
Hero's stack: approximately ~6500

KJ44 K4 ss option in bb
3 players
(1500 in pot)
594 two tone
8: checks
hero: checks
5: bets (1000?)
8: calls
hero: calls

(3 players - approx. 4500 in pot)
turn: 5945 two tone
8: checks
Hero: bets 3500?
5: folds
8: calls

(2 players - approx. 11000 in pot)
2000 left
Offsuit k

8: checks river
Hero: bets all in (about 2000)
8: villain folds

Analysis:
Flop: Check/calling flop is standard since board is very draw heavy and no guarantee hero can get others to fold equity.
Turn: It's a cooler to see higher boats here, but hero needs to get value and price out low draws (among other things). Bet sizing might have been better?
River: Standard play to get value from bluff catchers (such as trip 5s) which may check/call.

---------------
moments later:
twitter - 840p
? what did hero even have?
Missed good spot to two barrel on turn river on 35672. I am a fish and should have bet in position. 12600 on 300 600 dinner.

Seat 5's new read: When this hand occurred, I could tell villain was tough player. He said he was playing a ton of 75/150 LO8 and we had played some HORSE in West Palm Beach.

hero dealt: AQJ9 (A9 suited)
(hero did not have low wheel cards, so maybe 4 high suited cards?)
(was there flush draw on board? - probably not)

5: raised in EP
hero: calls in CO

(2 players)
35672 (two tone on turn, hero has no flush draw)

flop:
5: checks?
hero: checks?

turn:
5: checks
hero bet turn (how much) (1700?)
turn:
river:
5: checks
hero tanked and didn't bet the river

villain shows: 2 low pair/bad low draw and scoops

Analysis:
Flop:
Turn: This is a pure bluff with hero's hand and villain had not shown a lot of aggression
River: When villain only calls turn and perfect bluff river card (for counterfeit low) appears, this seems like an easy bet as a bluff.
Villain's hand strength is capped and is actually not very strong because most would have led turn+river with good straights. The board is fairly polarized, especially on the river, to straights and air.
With turn and river bet, hero is repping a straight (likely nut straight). Turn bet/river check indicates non-nut straight w/ counterfeited low.

---------------
(Seat 8, hero in seat 9)
Tweet: Lol literally stole blinds by grabbing small blind chips in blind battle. Oops.

Blinds: 300/600
SB: limps
Hero: announces raise to 2000
Hero was trying to make change to raise to 2000, but just put in 2 * 1000 chips and took all the blinds.
SB eventually folds.
Hero eventually realized this and joked with the table about "literally stealing blinds".

---------------

944p - hero's stack: 12000 at 300/600
---------------
hero: dealt AKQ4 (A4)(KQ) double suited

folds to seat 8
8: limps
9: hero raises to 2000
(other players fold)
8: calls

(2 players - 4900)
flop: T86 (two tone, hero has nut flush draw)
8: checks
9: checks


turn: T86Q (two tone, hero has nut flush draw)
8: bets 4000
hero: raises all in
8: calls

villain: shows AT32

river: T86Q2

Hero: Out

Analysis:
Flop: Checking back seems ok as hero doesn't have a huge amount of equity with naked flush draw/bad low draw.
Turn: Jamming here is pretty standard. It's a cooler to see villain's hand.

---------------
Hero: out (approximately 145/214)

Overall: There were definitely some spots with hero missteps that lost for value.