Wednesday, June 19, 2013

Golden Nugget PLO MTT

12000 starting chips at 25/50 (PLO) with 40 min. levels.

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Late Registration Table Reads:
1 Passively polayed j75t with overpair + fd
Limped bad aass
capable of bet/folding pairing river (villain bet small into pot)
Tougher player to my right (seat 1)
4 Barrleled 3 streets even on bdfd completing on river

At a different table, hero saw an older lady with LIPS cap (likely table which opened before hero arrived).

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Reads:
SB: Loose/aggressive/bad player(had just doubled after hitting gutter on turn)

Blinds: 50/100

Hero dealt: AKQJ (AK QJ double suited)

Hero (UTG, ~11.8k): raises to 300
SB (~25k): calls
BB (~15k?): calls

(3 players - 900 in pot)
Flop: JT8 two tone (hero has bdfd)
SB: bets 700
BB folds
Hero calls

(2 players - 2300 in pot)
Turn: JT8 Qd (hero has nfd)
SB: checks
Hero bets 2k (pot)
SB: calls

(2 players - 6300 in pot)
River: JT8 Qd 2x (both flush draws miss)
SB: checks
Hero value bets 4500
SB: folds

Analysis:
Preflop: Raise for value
Flop: Flatting seems best. There's a large number of good cards which can make nuttish hand (broadway) or add backdoor equity.
Villain's range seems like Q9xx, 97xx, and sets (mainly Q9/97, IMO).
Turn: A really good card and bet for value with nuts. Villain slows down, so more likely sets.
River: Should hero bet smaller? Should hero bet larger?
Villain may be stubborn and call with a bad straight in this spot...

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Read: PFR has often min-raised to open a pot
Hero dealt: KKT5 (KT and K5 double suited)

(3 folds)
PFR (MP): min-raises to 300
Hero (CO): calls
SB: calls
BB: folds

(3 players - 1050 in pot)
Flop: K86 two tone (hero does not have flush draw)
SB: checks
MP: checks
Hero: bets 750
SB: folds
PFR: calls

(2 players - 2550 in pot)
Turn: K86 J (offsuit, two tone flop)
PFR: checks
Hero: bets 2000
PFR: folds

Analysis:
Preflop: A flat call or a squeeze can work.
Flat call is usually best to get more players in pot for set mining.
Hero can muck the hand facing a 4 bet squeeze as its equity against AAxx is not super great.
Flop: Bet/call for value. PFR doesn't have a strong range to check/call. Also, assuming a normal live villain who doesn't check raise often, this seems rather weak. A c/r by the SB likely indicates a big draw. Hero could flat and try to "draw" for a blank turn or accept a (hopefully) likely flip...
Turn: A semi-brick is a good spot to continue aggression.

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At first break: 16475 @ 100/200 blinds
Overall, hero has been TAG and there were not a lot of interesting spots.

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2 related hands:
I just realize i float never in PLO8. That is today's revelation. Flatted qt q5 ss on button.
Flop turn checks to me. I barrel turn 2 3 pot them 55% pot. Then stole another pot with delayed turn bet as pfr.
Stealing some small pots. Villain in pre turned flush and rivered royal. Hero bluff catched PSB in limped pot with 2nd set.

hero dealt: QQT5 (QT ss)

2 early position players limp
Hero (button): limps
SB: calls
BB: calls

(5 players - 1000 in pot)
Flop: AT9 (two tone)
5 players check

(5 players - 1000 in pot)
Turn: AT99 both flush draws on turn
4 players check
Hero bets: 625

(2 players - 2050 in pot)
River: AT994 (both flush draws miss)
1 player checks
Hero: bets 1050

Analysis:
Overall, hero began to start exploiting the weak-tight nature + hero's image of being tight. This occurs in this hand and the next hand.
Preflop: This is a somewhat loose limp, but hero has position on the field and spiking a set with QQxx is ok.
Flop: This is a bad flop to bet, even though it checked to hero in position. The board is very draw heavy and folds seem tough.
Turn: This is a much more advantageous spot to bluff. Although some villains may have slowplayed a flopped set/2p into a boat, the majority of villains likely have air.
The villain who calls may have a flush draw and is continuing to draw.
River: Villain still shows weakness. Majority of time, hero can barrel river and generate a fold (as happened her) given villain's likely turn range.
If villain bets, likely villain has boat. Few villains seemingly would try to bluff river after hero bet into many players.

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Hero dealt: JT99 (J9 T9 double suited)
(folds to hero in HJ)
Hero (HJ): raises
2 folds
BB: calls

(2 players - 1500 in pot)
Flop: 885 two tone (hero has both flush draws)
vill: checks
hero: checks

(2 players - 1500 in pot)
Turn: 885A 2 flush draws (hero has both flush draws)
vill: checks
hero: bets 850
vill: folds

Analysis:
Preflop: This seems like a loose open. But given hero's tight image, it may generate folds from CO/Button.
Flop: Hero can sometimes bet flop, but for balance, can check this flop and barrel turn cards too.
Also, hero has flush draw equity that can be realized.
Turn: Hero decides to semibluff here, and it's more credible for hero to have hit this turn A in likely preflop raising range...

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Hero gets moved to new table.

2nd table reads (super passive?)
(table dealer facing the registration area)
1 youngish guy? seemed to shrug off when getting all in
5 lady with e-cigarette
6 older person with malformed hand
7 guy with headphones
8 hero?
9 person with circuit ring

Henry, a dealer (oldish person with spiked hair and glasses) said he saw the player with circuit ring (and seat 1) playing at the 5-5 PLO games the night before

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blinds: 150/300

Hero dealt: AJT2 (A2 suited)
Hero limped UTG
folds to button
button: raises to 900
sb: folds
bb: folds
hero: calls

(2 players - 2250 in pot)
Q84 rainbow (hero has bdfd)
hero: checked
vill: bet ~50% pot (1200)
hero: called

(2 players - 4650 in pot)
Q848 2 tone (hero does not have flush draw)
hero: bets 2/3 pot (3000)
vill: folds

Analysis:
Preflop: Limp/call raise UTG seems ok.
Flop: Hero suspected villain was weak here with a weakish cbet so hero reverse floated. Hero was going to donk bet some turns.

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Blinds: 150/300

Hero dealt: KKQT (KQ)(KT) double suited

folds to HJ
HJ: raises
CO/Button: folds
SB: folds
Hero (BB): calls

(2 players - 1950 in pot)
Flop: K85 two tone
Hero: checks
vill: checks

(2 players - 1950 in pot)
Turn: K85A completes flush
vill: bets pot (1950)
hero: calls

(2 players - 5850 in pot)
River: K85AT - 4 flush
vill: bets pot (5850)
hero: thinks/calls

vill: shows royal flush
hero: folds

Analysis:
Preflop: Flatting OOP seems fine to play a small pot.
Flop: Is c/r better than leading? It's debatable. In a HU situation against live villain, it seems more likely villain will bet (and hero should c/r).
Turn: It seems questionable to just draw to a boat here, although reverse implied odds are huge.
River: It seems less likely that it's a flush based on board texture (4 flush on board), but villain is betting again. Villain's range seems polarized. Hero probably should have folded turn b/c if villain doesn't have 2 barrel bluffs often, hero's probably going to have to call multiple bets anyway.

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340p from twitter
Blinds: 150/300
Hero dealt: AKKQ rainbow

vil1: limps
MP (hero): raises to 900
vil2: (short stack) min raises all in
button: flats
vil1: calls

(4 players - ~5650 in pot, 1 player AI)
Flop: 832 two tone
3 players check

(4 players - ~5650 in pot, 1 player AI)
Turn: 832T completes flush
vil1: checks
hero: checks
vil2: bets
vil1: folds
hero: folds

1 villain shows flush
short stacked villain is out

Analysis:
Flop: Even with a dry side pot, hero should consider betting here for value.
Turn: Easy check/fold as betting villain is showing aggression.

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Hero dealt: AQJ9 (AQ suited)

vil1: limps
hero (MP?): raises to 900
but: calls
sb: folds
bb: folds
vil1: calls

(3 players - 3150 in pot)
Flop: 322 two tone (hero has no flush draw)

Analysis:
Preflop: Standard.
Flop: Hero spewed by not betting here. Honestly, it was a mental misclick or trying to balance (but balance should have only been in HU pot and assumes players are paying attention).
This is an easy cbet, but Hero should have continued aggression and not worry about being exploitable, etc... A bet/fold of ~1800.

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Hero dealt: KQT9 (Q9 suited)

1 limp in front
Hero raises and isolates a limper.

(2 players - 2250 in pot)
Flop: 832 two tone
vill: checks
Hero: bets 1300
vill: folds

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(~356p) - blinds 150/300
Hero dealt: AAJ6 (AJ suited)

1 fold
v1: raises
hero: calls
2 folds
v2: calls
(2 folds)
v3 (button): calls
sb: folds
bb: folds

(4 players - 1650 in pot)
Flop: 722 two tone (hero has nut flush draw)
Hero leads 3/4 pot (1200)
v2: raises
v3: reraises AI
v1: folds
hero: folds
v2: calls

(both players had the remaining deuces)

Analysis:
Flop: This seems like an ok spot to try to steal the pot, although it's 4 handed.
Hero has some backup protection (spiking overfull and sometimes completing the nut flush can be good), but then aggression behind hero forces an easy fold.

hero's stack: 14700 @ 150/300

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Twitter comment: Trying to show my lag which did not exist for some reason this entire trip. No idea why it disappeared. 18k
At break: 17000 300/600 blinds

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Blinds: 300/600

Hero had been relatively quiet preflop (maybe playing 1-2 hands) over a couple rotations in the previous level.

Hero dealt: AQ99 (A9)(Q9) double suited

1 limper
hero: raises to ~1800
button: flats
sb: folds
bb: folds
limper: folds

(2 players - 4500 in pot)
Flop: AK6 two tone (hero flush draw)
hero: checks
button: checks

(Turn/River cards were not properly written down)
(2 players - 4500 in pot)
Turn: AK6 8 two tone (hero has flush draw)
hero: bets 3200
button: calls

(2 players - 10700 in pot)
River: AK6 8 J - flush draw misses
hero: bets 6500
button: raises all in
hero: tanks/folds

Bluff gone bad. Two barrel turn and river. Crippled 4600
Isolated limp as pfr got flatted from button. A9 q9 ds after being quiet for a while. Check back ak6 two tone with hero fl draw
Maybe should have barrelled < 3200 and 6500 and folded to reraise.

Analysis:
Preflop: Normal with strong value hand
Flop: Flop check actually is a mistake. Hero has a lot of equity and should semi-bluff rather than try to "balance" by checking back some flops.
Turn/River: blanks on both streets. Hero decides to run a bluff.
Villain's range for turn is likely broadway wrap (most likely with a pair). There could be some other pair+flush draw combos, but that seems unlikely for villain to raise as a bluff given hero's smallish remaining stack size on betting turn/river.
Hero also notes that bet sizing might be a little too large overall (and given shorter stack sizes). Basically, bet sizes of 3/4 pot are usually unnecessary as many players will fold for smaller bets and hero can get stack in more easily.

Hero's stack: 4600 @ 300/600

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Two blind steals before table break. 5500 @ 400/800

3rd table
No real reads on table after 2 rotations. There didn't seem horribly fishy from hands shown down.
Hero is in seat 5.

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blinds: 500/1000

Hero's stack: 5900 (after 1 blind steal)
Hero dealt: AA54 (A5 suited)
(folds to hero in MP)
MP (hero): raises to 2500
button (~30k): calls

(2 players - 6500 in pot)
Flop: Q98 two tone (hero has no flush draw)
hero: bets 3400 (AI)
button: snap calls

button: shows AQQ3 rainbow

Turn: Q98J (no flush)
River: Q98J7 (no flush)

Analysis:
Preflop: Hero liked to balance w/ 2.5x raise.
Flop: With 1/2 PSB left, this is an easy bet AI.

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Hero out 23 of 55.
Overall, the field seemed like standard Golden Nugget field (relatively soft).

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