1500 starting stack with 2 rebuys with 25/25 blinds and 60 min. levels
Table Reads by the time hero's first hand was played.
1 original player was middle aged person...seemed to try to show lots of aggression with naked low draw early on
also took all bullets
2 Hero
3 middle aged man - seemed like microstakes hero
4 middle aged lady who mentioned she'd rather bust and hang out on the beach or build up a stack (and her husband had performed well at another WSOP event)
5 seemed competent
6 likely old nit?
7 older guy with Wynn cap? (maybe inverted with seat 6?)
Understands showdown raised oop with aa5 with suit
Checked 887 flop though...w/ low draw onboard
Villain in 7 hole has gotten aa5 twice, flopped set and held up
8 youngish man - maybe internet player?
9 older gentleman, likely loose cannon and said phrases like "I'll probably suck out on you today"
10 not sure if same person initially
eventually Asian middle aged lady?
Overall: table seemed passive + hero got some free plays when in BB.
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Hero was not overly focused to start. Hero dropped cell phone. Luckily, Rio security was able to find the cell phone. (Second year in a row hero was distracted during WSOP PLO8.)
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blinds: 25/25 (10 min. left in level)
Hero had 0 VPIP over 2 rotations
Hero dealt: AKT5 (AK suited)
8: limps
hero (CO): raises to 75
(2 folds)
4 (SB): calls
BB: folds
(3 players to flop - 200 in pot)
Flop: AA6 two tone (hero has no FD)
200 in pot
Hero bets 150
Villain calls
3
Villain donks 2/3 pot
Hero calls
AA63 (2 flush on board)
3 turn
AA636 (2 flush on board)
Villain checks
Hero checks behind
Villain shows a443
Hero mucks
Analysis:
Preflop: Iso-raise is better to try to get it HU or 3 way maximum.
Flop bet is best with top trips + top kicker and no low on 2 flush board.
Turn donk is a bit scary as villain leads w/ a lot of A3xx, but also 42xx combos.
River: Hero is not really going to get better to fold (as 42xx does not fold), so check back is pretty normal
Hero takes add on - 2250 w/ 1 bullet remaining
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Break: 1925 + 1 rebuy chip
Hero has played 1 hand thus far...
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A couple hands into level 3
50/100 blinds
Hero dealt: AJ43 (AJ) suited
2 players limped
SB (hero): calls
BB: checks
(4 players - 400 in pot)
Flop: 998 two tone
4 checks
Turn: 998T (two tone)
Hero donk bets 250
(3 players fold)
Analysis:
Once flop checks, hero decides to use tight image to try to steal pot (hero is bet/folding).
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Hero dealt: AKJ2 (AK suited)
(folds to hero)
Hero raises to 250
SB (5): calls 575 remaining
6: calls
(3 players - 750 in pot)
J75r hero has bdfd
5 donks 575 (AI)
6 folds
Hero calls
QJ on river
Hero wins pot and villain mucked hand
Analysis:
Preflop: Raise in LP with decently strong hand.
Flop: Standard call with TPTK + NL for < 1 PSB
Hero's stack: 3300 plus rebuy
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Hero dealt: A532 (A2 suited)
folds to hero in MP+1
hero (MP+1): raises to 250
3 folds
6 (BB): calls
(2 players - 550 in pot)
Flop: 642 two tone, hero has bdfd
6: checks
hero: bets 400
6: villain folds
Analysis:
Preflop: Normal open in MP+1. At weak table, trying to build pot to be able to get stacks in by river on favorable flops.
Flop: This is a relatively favorable flop. Hero cbets for value, but villain folds. I don't think there's much merit in checking back since there's no read that villain is aggressive.
Hero dealt: A932 (A9 suited)
Hero in BB
Prologue on Table Dynamics: There had been 2 times where it folded to sb and sb limps. Hero had raised 1x (villain folded preflop) and 1x it got checked preflop.
folds to sb
sb: limps
hero: raises to 300
sb: folds
Analysis: Keeping pressure on with a good chunk of hero's ranges preflop is smart especially in position. It can help for metagame by getting some folds later on and/or provide avenues for more pressure in the future.
Hero dealt: AJ32 (AJ suited)
(3 players - 1100 in pot)
Flop: T88 rainbow
hero: checks
6 (PFR): checks
8: checks
(3 players - 1100 in pot)
Turn: T885 rainbow (hero has no flush draw)
hero: bets 625
6 (PFR): calls
8: folds
(2 players - 2350 in pot)
River: T8857 rainbow
6 (PFR): bets 725
hero: calls
villain shows AJx2 and hero and villain chop
Analysis:
Turn: Hero betting here to try to pick up an orphan pot seems ok. Maybe hero can bet larger (~750), but villains aren't likely paying attention to pot size...)
River: Although hero has Ace high, the only draw that gets there is 96 (straight) or villain being too late and betting rivered boat. Most villains would bet or c/r the turn. Hero is fortunate to share same high and low to chop.
Hero's stack: 3925
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(352p) - level 4 w/ blinds at 100/200
Villain read:
5: seemed competent but possibly trappy and was table chip leader; seemed on tighter side, but not a nit.
Hero dealt: AKJ2 (AJ suited)
(2 players in pot - 600 in pot)
Flop: J75 rainbow
5: checks
Hero: bets 475
5: calls
(2 players in pot - 1550 in pot)
Turn: J752 two tone (hero does not have flush draw)
5: bets 1000
Hero: tanks for a minute, then calls
(2 players in pot - 3550 in pot)
River: J7527 (flush draw misses)
5: bets 1000
Hero: tanks for a minute, then calls
villain bets the pot
hero tanks for a couple minutes, but eventually folds.
After the hand, villain says he had A743, but never showed.
Analysis:
Preflop: Standard preflop raise
Flop: Standard cbet
Turn:
A. Villain donking (not a PSB) a counterfeit low for a non-pot sized amount seemed weird.
B. The smallish bet size confused hero.
C. Hero felt villain was competent, but was hero sophisticated enough to donk bluff a counterfeit card? Or is villain just betting for value/freeroll with nut low (A3xx)?
D. Turn call or fold can be ok. But a turn call could put hero in bad RIO (reverse implied odds) spot.
River:
A. Hero tanks and folds correctly. This probably wasn't too hard of a decision, but at least hero thought about it a while.
B. AAxx, KKxx, QQxx have spiked better 2 pair and are better than hero's hand. Other hands that were already ahead (7xxx) are still ahead. Hero could chop AJxx, but a lot of them probably have a low.
C. Hero's EV is not really high with river call.
Hero's stack: 1825 with 1 bullet
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A couple hands later (about 15 min. later):
Reads on players in this hand:
1: ~1300 and just moved to the table (new player)
2 (hero): 1675
5: ~6000 with read that villain was likely competent
8: ~9000 with read that villain was huge whale and said comments like "I'll probably suck out on people today".
Hero dealt: AJ42 (A4 suited)
Hero in BB
5: limps
8: raises to ~400
10: calls
1 (SB): calls
2 (hero/BB): calls
5: calls
(5 players - 2000 in pot)
Flop: AT8 rainbow (hero has BDFD)
1: donks for 600
2: hero raises all in
5: calls
8: raises pot (although there's controversy for if he said pot or raised all in)
1: calls
5: thinks for a bit, then calls
1: shows 42xx
2: has top 2 + 2nd nut low draw)
5: has nut low draw
8: has AAxx (top set)
(4 players - 3 all in - pot = ~5.2k in main, 1.2k in first side pot, 9k in second side pot = ~16k)
Turn: AT8Q flush draw, but not hero's flush draw)
River: AT8QT
Analysis:
Preflop: Normal call of preflop raise
Flop: Hero's high strength is pretty weak MW. It might actually be closer to a fold. This is a tough spot. Different moves are possible (although some/all decisions seem close).
Negative: Hero does not have NLD. Because it's multiway (although hero has a blocker to nut low), the NLD is still more likely to exist.
A better high hand will likely exist. Given the action, hero might get a worser hand like A8xx (w/o redraws) to fold.
Positive: Hero's intent is to try to overrepresent high hand, but have low draw as backup. But, it may not really work in this case.
Hypothetical: If hero had top 2, it's a cooler. although considering there were 4 people in the pot, it's not surprising to see someone with a set. Nut low draws are definitely in the mix too (and one person had one)
Overall, this was probably a mistake to get all chips in. More often than not, hero is in a bad spot and hoping to push out other people may have been too optimistic...
There is some merit with the play though, but maybe not given the fact that hero's OOP and can find a better spot given likely edge against the table.
***note: hero's twitter account likely had a typo and listed AT42. AJ42 seems more right and makes sense given the layout of keys on the phone (5 = JKL & 8 = TUV). Hero was really mad about hand after fact b/c it was likely a mistake, rather than a "cooler" situation.
Hero uses last bullet: 1500 in chips.
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Hero dealt: K532 (53 suited)
hero limped behind a couple looser players.
A villain behind raised.
Hero called
In multiway (likely 4 handed) pot, hero folded on the flop (board was like Q65)
Hero's stack: 1125 @ 100/200 blinds
Analysis: There seemed like less Aces in players' hands given the players who were in the pot...Thus, the reason to call with a 3 wheel card hand (which is weak). There's also merit in folding preflop.
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Hero dealt: AQ63 (A3) suited
Hero (UTG): raises to 525
8: calls
(1 fold)
10 (SB): calls
1 (BB): folds
(3 players - 1775 in pot)
Flop: K87 two tone (hero does not have flush draw)
hero: bets 600 (all in)
9: calls
10: calls
Turn: K87J two tone
9: checks
10: checks
River: K87J9 (flush draw misses)
9: checks
10: checks
seat 10 shows rivered straight
Hero is out in level 4.
Analysis:
Preflop: Neither villain in hand seemed super aggressive.
Flop: Is there merit for betting and hoping to get other villains to fold? It's debatable.
Villains seemed passive and kind of calling station like, so in actuality, maybe there's some merit in taking passive line? Possibly, I'm being results oriented...
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Overall Analysis:
This was a good table draw. There were some unfortunate coolers (especially in MW situation), but it was +EV to enter the MTT.
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