30000 starting stack with 50/100 blinds and 30 min. levels
Table Reads by the time hero's first hand was played.
1 middle aged male
2 middle aged male
3 younger (20-30) male
4 middle aged male
5 empty, eventually older male
6 hero
Hero didn't feel well that morning. After taking a nap, hero felt ok to late register. Hero registered 2 hands prior to end of registration (level 8).
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Level 8:
Blinds/Antes: 300/600/75
(5 handed, 6th person came just as break ended)
Preflop:
Hero dealt in BB: T7s
Vil3 (But): raises to 2000
Vil4 (SB): folded
Hero (BB): folded
Preflop:
Hero dealt: J6s
(folds to hero in SB)
Hero mistakenly (subconsciously) tapped the table (within the border of the "betting line")
Hero (SB): calls
Vil1 (BB): raises to 2600
Hero complains to dealer.
Dealer says that's what happened...
Hero doesn't know/why it was subconscious. But it was definitely a tilt problem at this point,.
Hero started complaining, and both dealer and player said it was explicitly a call.
Hero ends up folding...although hero did think about 3 betting in this spot.
Basically, hero may not be in as good of a mental state...
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Hero's stack: 28950 at 2nd break.
Seat 5 fills up at break.
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Level 9:
Blinds/Antes: 400/800/75
About ~7 hands in, our table is broken.
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2nd Table Reads by the time hero's first hand was played.
1 middle aged (30s-40s) lady
2 20-30s male
3 20s male
4 older male (non-Caucasian)
5 hero
6 old (40s-50s) male; eventually another older male
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Hero dealt in SB: Q8o
Preflop:
(folds to hero in SB)
Hero (SB, ~20k): raises to 2000
Vil6 (BB, ~45k): calls
(2 players - 4400 in pot)
Flop: 876 two tone (hero has no flush draw).
Hero: bets 2800
Vil6: raises to 6000
Hero: thinks for a while, then folds
Analysis:
Preflop: This seems ok for an open against an unknown.
Flop: Hero cbets (standard), but hero doesn't know what to do against a small raise by villain.
Lots of turn/river cards are bad.
It's slightly bigger than min raise, which seems to indicate a big hand more often than not. It's less likely it's an info probe bet ("see where villain is at").
Sigh, w/o a hero/villain dynamic, it seems best to just fold here, even thought it's kind of weak-tight.
Hero could call and try to play pot control the rest of the way.
Does hero raise/fold? It seems spewy too...
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Hero raised on Button with hand, but folded when villain (Vil1) shows aggression after hero's cbet is called.
Hero folded in CO:
Hero dealt in MP: thought about raising K2s, but folded.
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Hero dealt in UTG+1: AA
Preflop:
Vil4: folds
Hero (UTG+1, ~19k): raises to 2000
Vil6 (HJ, ~42k): reraises to 6000
(other players fold)
Hero: calls
(2 players - 13600 in pot)
Flop: Kc 3c 2x
Hero: checks
Vil6: bets 10500
Hero: raises to 13100 (all in)
Vil6: calls
Vil6: shows TT
Board: Kc 3c 2x 9h Qd
Hero's stack: 39800
Analysis:
Preflop: Hero didn't want to turn hand faceup by 4betting. Hero decides to slowplay to keep rest of villain's range in.
Flop: There's no merit in donking or slowplaying. A check/raise is standard while hero's stack is < ~30k tbh.
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Next hand:
Hero dealt in UTG: QQ (no clubs)
Preflop:
Hero: raises to 2000
Vil6: reraises all in to ~15k
(folds to hero)
Hero: calls
Vil6: shows AQo (no clubs)
Board: 2c 6c 9c Jh Kd
Hero's stack: ~60k
Analysis:
Preflop: Pretty standard. Hero's range for calling is probably wider to 88+/ATo+ because hero had been so active. If villain had ~30-40k and shoved, this is a call as well.
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Hero dealt in SB: K2o
Preflop:
(folds to hero)
Hero (SB, ~60k): raises to 2000
Vil1 (BB, ~40k): calls
(2 players - 4400 in pot)
Flop: Ax Kx 5x (rainbow)
Hero: checks
Vil1: checks
(2 players - 4400 in pot)
Turn: Ax Kx 5x 8h (rainbow)
Hero: checks
Vil1: bets 2500
Hero: calls
(2 players - 9400 in pot)
River: Ax Kx 5x 8h Jx(rainbow)
Hero: checks
Vil1: bets 7000
Hero: thinks/folds
Vil1: shows 5x
Analysis:
Preflop: This is fine for a wide opening range. Vil seemed a little calling station though, so maybe this isn't that good of a spot.
Flop: Hero decides to play pot control (to get to showdown) because few worse hands are calling.
Turn: Hero shows no aggression and villain decides to show aggression. Hero decides to call and theoretically call most river bets.
River: Hero planned and should call the river bet, but after thinking a while, hero folds.
This was a spew, TBH. Hero should be prepared to call 2 streets in this spot and expect to win often. But, hero decided to change his read...sigh.
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Updated reads:
Vil1: Hero eventually realizes that Vil1 is definitely a station and doesn't seem to fold any pair. Vil1 also seems to stab at a lot of pots, but maybe it's any time villain has a pair. Villain seemed to limp sometimes/often
Vil2: seemed passive and didn't raise often preflop.
Vil3: seemed to be competent more modern player.
Vil4: is a nit
Vil6: also seemed like a nit
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Blinds/Antes: 500/1000/100
Hero dealt in BB: 9h 5h
Reads:
Vil1: seemed to show lots of aggression in 3-4 limped pots.
Preflop:
(folds to Vil6)
Vil6: calls
Vil1: calls
(folds to hero)
Hero: checks
(3 players - 4100 in pot)
Flop: Kd Th 7c
Hero: checks
Vil6: checks
Vil1: bets 2000
Hero: raises to 6000
Vil6: folds
Vil1: calls
(2 players - 16100 in pot)
Turn: Kx Tx 7c 9c
Hero: bets 8750
Vil1: calls
(2 players - 33600 in pot)
River: Kx Tx 7c 9c Kc
Hero: thinks for a bit, then checks
Vil1: bets 14500
Hero: folds
(bluffing hand)
Vil1: said they had 2 pair
Analysis:
Preflop: Standard to check in BB. Hero's not sure a preflop raise will work with calling station who limped.
Flop: Hero decided to check raise b/c villain was being aggressive and betting lots of flops (and had 1 folded to c/r).
Turn: Hero continues aggression in hopes of fold. Villain asks amount and calls, so bet size seemed decent (although probably ~7.5k works too).
River: Hero was planning to bluff (AI for a PSB, although maybe 15-20k was better). Hero should probably have actually bluffed, but decided to avoid the triple barrel.
How wide is villain's range? All pairs? draws? Because flop was rainbow, it's more unlikely villain had straight draw. So, this seemed like a bad spot to triple barrel regardless of river card. It's not a super scary card by process of hand analysis, but villain may not read well and maybe folds some of the time.
Hero's stack: 33000 @ 500/1000
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Sadly, hero developed read that villain bet any pair, called with any draw over the next 2 rotations.
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Blinds/Antes: 600/1200/200
Hero dealt in UTG: 88
Preflop:
Hero (50k): raises to 2600
Vil6 (30k): calls
Vil1: folds
Vil2 (50k): calls
(other players fold)
(3 players - 12000 in pot)
Flop: Ks Qc Qd 2d Ks
all players check
(3 players - 12000 in pot)
Turn: Ks Qc Qd 2d Ks
all players check
(3 players - 12000 in pot)
River: Ks Qc Qd 2d Ks
Hero: bets 5000
Vil6: folds quickly
Vil2: calls
Analysis:
Preflop: Standard raise UTG.
Flop/Turn: Villains seemed very straight forward and passive. Hero decided to pot control rather than "turn hand into bluff" and not get called by much worse.
River: This may not have been a good bet as Hero's playing the board.
The 2 villains were pretty straight forward though, but hero's trying to fold out "non-Ax" hands to hopefully get fewer people to chop. Hero is getting value owned more often since there are probably more Ax hands.
This seemed like good spot to bluff, but at least 1 villain probably has an Ace so it may not have been as good of a spot. Sigh.
Hero could also try to bet more, but this seemed spewy at this point.
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Hero's stack: 21k
---------------
Blinds/Antes: 600/1200/200
Hero dealt in UTG+1: AJo
Preflop:
Vil4: folds
Hero: raises to 2600
(folds to Vil2 in SB)
Vil2: reraises to 12600
Hero: thinks/folds
Analysis:
Preflop: Hero estimated a 10% shoving range. Hero's stack is about 17BB (M = 7).
Hold'em Simulation ?
2,931,464,448 trials (Exhaustive)
Hand Equity Wins Ties
AJ 43.67% 1,135,768,272 288,641,644
10% 56.33% 1,507,054,532 288,641,644
Hero's calling 18400 to win (26400+18400) in pot = ~41%.
So, it's about 3% equity difference, assuming villain would shove strong hands (AA/KK) too. Sigh, this was probably a call.
Maybe it's closer with hero's edge against field and only splitting 2-3%...
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Eventually, hero saw Vil4 reraise all in with 2s saying "this is the only way i know how to play".
---------------
(Hero folds hands for about 1 rotation)
Hero's stack: 15700
Hero dealt in CO: KTo
Preflop:
(folds to hero in CO)
Hero: raises all in for 15700
(other players fold quickly).
Analysis:
Preflop: Pretty standard shove with 13BBs. Hero could try to raise small, but feels that Vil1 looks at pot odds first and is more likely to fold range to shove.
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Hero dealt in SB: QTo
Preflop:
Vil1 (60k): limps
Vil2 (50k): folds
Vil3 (45k): limps
Vil4 (30k): limps
Hero (17k): raises all in (17.7k)
Vil6 (40k): folds
Vil1: folds
Vil3: folds
Vil4: folds AJo face up.
Preflop:
Vil4 asked after the hand if hero is shoving if he raises and Vil4 calls. Hero said "maybe".
After the hand, Vil4 said he didn't want to raise preflop and be forced to call a shove. It's a weird spot given stack sizes for Vil4 and hero's sort of tight image.
Hero's stack: 26.1k
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Hero folds some more hands preflop.
Hero's updated stack: 22.5k
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Hero dealt on button: T8s (hearts)
Preflop:
Vil2: limps
(folds to hero)
Hero: raises all in for 22500
Vil6: folds
Vil1: snap calls
Vil2: folds
(Hero knows he's in trouble).
Vil1: shows QQ
Board: 7h 4d 2s Kc Jh
Preflop: Hero knew fold equity was best to raise all in. If hero raises small (say 6k), hero can't really fold with 12BBs remaining.
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Hero out around 50th. 140 entries.
Results: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vQLKx9XlWNYZKJImR7VwoQTu4CfEFAIlMOOafT-awF0/edit#gid=929337438
The field was very soft, even for hero who doesn't play that much NLHE. There was some limping and people weren't 3betting very lightly (or at all).
Even with hero's B game, this was a profitable MTT. Unfortunately, a misplaced 2 barrel bluff (that should have been a 3 barrel, tbh) was hero's undoing.
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