Wednesday, September 22, 2010

Variance - Live Play and Downswings

My recent NLHE live play has been marked by many downswings. I've had a rather extended one, to be honest at 2-5 (5-6 sessions). I generally fear that it's me playing bad, not reacting well to the new players, and not adjusting quickly enough based on their play.
(I've had long downswings online (5-6+ sessions), but it's definitely a combination of leaks + downward variance swing.)

Problem with variance/downswings:
I'm never 100% sure if it's always my mistakes or just variance.
It's not so much the downswings (that's why I have a bankroll), but it's more that I fear I might overadjust for leaks and such.

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