Friday, December 2, 2011

245 PLO MTT @ Harrah's St. Louis

$245 PLO MTT

The structure is very similar to "WSOP"-circuit events. 5k starting chips with levels 25/25, 25/50, 50/75, 50/100, 75/150, etc...

I arrived 15 min. late and a new table was opened up consisting of late regs + 1 or 2 players randomly added to the table to balance number of players at each table.

(Q9)(75) double suited)
hero: 5k
bb: 5500

folds to hero in CO
hero raises to 125
bb: calls

2 players
Ax 9c 5c (hero does not have flush draw)

bb: checks
hero: bets flop ~2/3 pot
bb: calls

Ax 9c 5c 2x (hero does not have flush draw)
bb: check
hero: check

Ax 9c 5c 2y Az (hero does not have flush draw)
bb: check
hero: check

hero wins pot

Analysis:
Hero sometimes/probably should have bet 2nd/3rd pair on turn. Villain likely had a flush draw (or gutter) and shut it down when the turn was a brick.

------
25/50 level

w/ 4 limpers in front
hero decides to check BB with AAQ4 (AQ) single suited [ss]
hero missed flop (it was a relatively mid connected board with a flush draw - ex) QT7 two tone) and folded

Analysis: Hero can try to get it in on good flops/turns, but hero decides to try to play well post flop.
--------------

2 limpers:
hero on button: dealt A553 (A5) ss

hero limped in multiway pot
UTG+1 was older man who seemed weak-tight and showed very little aggression over 2 rotations

UTG+1 limps
HJ: limps
button (hero): limps
sb: folds
bb: checks

(4 players)

Kh 6h 5x
bb: checks
UTG+1: bets 200
HJ: folds
hero: calls
bb: folds

(2 players)
Kh 6h 5x Ky
Hero misread turn bet as 200 and put 200 in chips. Rest of table told me it was 600, so hero tanks, then end up calling for 600.
I was told my 200 was binding, but given the option to fold. However, i was not planning on it.

Sadly, the 100 and 500 color chips are very close color shades. Since villain was on other side of table and lighting was horrible, it was relatively easy to miss. It's always worth it to ask about bet sizes if not sure (although I didn't realize the colors were that similar when examining them in my stack.

Kh 6h 5x Ky Ax

villain: bets 600
hero: folds

Analysis:
Hero can fold preflop.
It was a good laydown by the river...the question is when do you let it go? A case can be made to fold the turn (and was original hero's action when seeing 200 bet)...
River bet sizing screamed crying call from villain and was somewhat easy fold.

A trend at this MTT: lots of people played their buttons with any 4 cards in limped/raised pots. It seemed kind of excessive...unlike previous MTTs.

hero in late position: dealt A994 (A9 suited)

early position raise
1 call
hero calls


on AT7 (monotone) board.
Checks to hero in position
hero bets ~1/2-2/3 pot
all players fold.

------------------
Level 4: (blinds: 50/100)

Hero gets moved to a new table and observed this hand at the new table.

3 players in limped pot

flop: Kd Jd 5x

utg+1 checks
mp: checks
button: bets ~4/5 pot
utg+1 calls
mp: folds

Turn: Kd Jd 5x 4y

utg+1 checks
button: bets near pot again
utg+1: c/r all in
button: calls

utg+1 shows KKxx (no flush draw or J54 side cards)
button shows: Qd Td 8d 3x

button bricks and is out of the MTT.

Analysis: I'm not sure what to think about the play from UTG+1 for checking back twice. Stacks are getting in on the flop if UTG+1 bets.
My perception of UTG+1: it seemed like button was more of a "NLHE" player and would more often check top set there.
Normally, it's ok to be checking back this board if it's a lower set (treating as drawing hand to boat) sometimes as hands (such as button) are equity favorites on flop...it can be deceptive seeing as 2-3 PSBs are good enough to get it in.
But, IMO, the higher the set, the more a player should bet and get money from JJxx and 55xx.

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hero in CO: dealt AQJ7 (AQ suited, Q or J were 2 big cards T-K)

1 player limped in front
hero: isolation raised in CO
all other players fold
1 player folds and accidentally shows 6432 rainbow

Analysis: I'm not limping 6432 rainbow in a PLO game, even a cash game w/o flush draws. It's rarely going to flop nut draws... Because the highest card is a 6 and it has a gap, the straights will almost always be "non-nut".


hero's stack: 4275 @ 1st break
blinds: 75/150

-----------------------
limped pot (2 players)
hero in bb: Ks Qd Ts 5c

flop:
Kd 8s 3s

hero checks
older villain bets 3/4 pot
hero: check raises to 575

(2 players)
Kd 8s 3s Jc
hero leads 1025 on turn
villain tanks/folds

Analysis:
Hero checkraising 2 pairs + flush draw is relatively standard. Hero is happy to get villain to fold the turn though.

Equity against top 2:

On the Flop 600,000 trials (Randomized)
board: Kd8s3s
Hand Equity Wins Ties
k8 50.57% 298,470 9,842
ks qx ts 5y 49.43% 291,688 9,842

On the Turn 1,152,480 trials (Exhaustive)
board: Kd8s3sJc
Hand Equity Wins Ties
k8 53.40% 605,076 20,736
ks qx ts 5y 46.60% 526,668 20,736

---------------
hero in mp: dealt Ad Ks Jd 7c

folds to hero in MP
hero raised as PFR in MP
button (young lady) calls
BB calls

(3 players)
flop: Td 4d 2c
bb: checks
hero: checks
button: checks

(2 players)
turn: Td 4d 2c Qd
bb: checks
hero: checks
button bets 1100
hero: calls

(2 players)
river: Td 4d 2c Qd 2h
hero: checks
button quickly bets 2200
hero: tanks, calls

villain shows QQxx
hero mucks and decided to show Ad Jd..

hero's stack: about 1850

Analysis:
Flop: Argument can be made to c-bet flop. But, hero just has a naked nut flush draw, so equity is not super great.
Turn: This is a big difference b/w PLO and NLHE. Hero really should bet the turn here (rather than hesitate, then check). Medium flushes are calling at least one street. Sets are also calling to "hope" to boat up. As played, hero can c/r too, but it reps naked ace high flush blocker, or nut flush.
River: At the time, hero thought about it a while and thought hard about folding. But, there was suspicion that villain may bet medium flush draws on the river even with the board paired as villain seemed to be (kinda) NLHE oriented for lines.

---------------
2 other players were involved with this hand.

effective stacks: 3000 at 100/200 blinds

JT7 rainbow flop

player 1: checks
player 2: bets 1450
player 1: raises all in (3000 total)
player 2: calls all in

player 1: Q98X
player 2: A983

Analysis: With stacks this shallow, freerolling is not the hugest of concerns and usually very standard if getting freerolled in this spot. C/R by player 1 is good too.

-----
hero in BB: dealt JT97 (T9 suited in spades)

hj: limps
same young lady raises on button to 3x (600)
sb: folds
hero calls (hero had 600 chips left)
hj: calls

(3 players, 1900 in pot)
5x Ks Qx (hero has backdoor flush draw)
all players check

5x Ks Qx 8s  (hero has flush draw)
hero checks
button bets: 2/3 pot
hero looks at hand and calls

villain shows: KQxx (no flush draws)

5x Ks Qx 8s Ay

hero doubles up to 3100
Analysis: Hero should have bet the turn, but forgot there were 2 spades in hero's hand!
Checking turn by villain is ok b/c the only real draws are broadway wraps.

hand equity
range flop turn
turn equity:
kq** 54.22% 51.13%
jx ts 9s 7x 45.78% 48.72%


===================
HJ: Has been very loose and passive preflop, never raising preflop.
hero in CO: dealt KK54 (K5)(K4) (double suited)


HJ: limps
hero: raises

but: calls
bb: calls
CO: raises, but dealer says he doesn't hero CO say he wants to raise pot, so it's assumed a min raise.
hero: tanks, then helps and repots
but: tanks sometime, then calls all in
bb: tanks for ~2 min, then folds

button: shows AJJT (JT suited)
hero: KK54 (K5)(K4) double suited
CO limper: shows AA**
bb (older lady) - folds, saying she folded QQxx

Board:
236
236 8 (flush draw on turn; no one has flush draw)
236 8 t

Hero's stack: 12800
CO: eliminated
button: very short stack


Analysis:
When villain limp-raises, 99% of time it's aaxx. For some reason, hero was dumb and tried to get rid of player to trap dead money...
Older lady tanked forever and said she folded qqxx (which is a super standard fold given the action in front, IMO.) Some at the table were saying it was a tough laydown...which points towards the lack of PLO MTT experience (not that hero really got it right either...)

Hero should have just taken a flop multiway in this spot and still wonders how that mistake even happened.

PPT Equity preflop
AA** 65.76%
KK54 ds 36.81%

---------------------------
blinds: 100/200

hero: dealt Ah Qh Td 9s

folds to hero in HJ
UTG+1: limps
UTG+2: limps
hero: raises 5.5x (1050)
folds to UTG+1
UTG+1: reraises pot
UTG+2 calls
hero: tanks/folds

UTG+1 eventually shows naked AAxx

hero's stack: 11750

Analysis:
This time around, I (correctly) surmised the limp-reraise = AA**. I'm not sure why this didn't happen before. The difference with my hand is having an A against likely AA** means my equity is bad preflop.
Basically, having the ace decreases equity a lot. An argument can be made to call, to be honest. It could have went either way.

AA** 65.71%
As Q Ts 9d 34.24%

------------
hero had Ad Kd 9y 6x

UTG+2:  limps
hero (HJ): raises 3.5x
button (female player from before): calls
UTG+2: folds

[Effective stack sizes: 9000, sorry for lack of bet amounts]

(2 players, pot approximately 1500)
Qs 7d Kh
hero: checks
button: checks

(2 players, pot approximately 1500)
Qs 7d Kh 8d
hero: bets (approximately 900)
button: calls

(2 players, pot approximately 3300)
Qs 7d Kh 8d Qd
hero: bets (approximately 1900)
button: bets all in
hero: folds

Analysis:
Preflop: The raise to ISO UTG+2 could be a limp behind as well. Isolating seemed better as the UTG+2 seemed to play straightforward postflop.

Flop: Check/calling here is debatable. A cbet probably should have been made.
Diamonds are good turn cards, but lots of drawy/connecting straight cards can complete on the turn.

Turn: Donk leading when turning a nut flush draw is good to rep a turned 2 pair+. No straights got there. I bet ~60% pot for stack depth considerations on the river.

River: Bet/Fold seems standard.
Hero can get calls from lower flushes, so it's more of a thin value bet. Some low boats may call and not raise.

After hero bets, Villain is repping a boat here and it becomes a fold.


hero's stack: approximately 8300

-----------------------
limped 8754 (87 suited)
check/folded a JJ3 board when faced with a bet

level 7 -> level 8
hero's stack = 7775

---------------
break: 5k @ 300/600

shortly after the break, a couple eliminations led us to the final table of 10

hero: dealt Ah Ac 2c 8s
3300 @ 400/800

UTG+1 - min raise
MP: calls
sb (hero): raises all in

UTG - calls
MP: calls

48J5 x
One of the 2 players shows straight and hero is out.

Analysis:
It kinda sucks for UTG+1's raise to 1200 and the flat call from MP. My raise isn't really big enough to elicit much fold equity (especially after UTG+1 calls). It seems standard.

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busted: 10/48 (5 pay)

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